Foresight Autonomous Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.08
FRSX Stock | USD 1.08 0.02 1.89% |
Closest to current price Foresight long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Foresight |
Foresight Autonomous Target Price Odds to finish over 1.08
The tendency of Foresight Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
1.08 | 90 days | 1.08 | about 50.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Foresight Autonomous to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This Foresight Autonomous Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Foresight Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Foresight Autonomous Holdings has a beta of -0.0673. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Foresight Autonomous are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Foresight Autonomous Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Foresight Autonomous Holdings has an alpha of 0.3454, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Foresight Autonomous Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Foresight Autonomous
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Foresight Autonomous. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Foresight Autonomous' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Foresight Autonomous Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Foresight Autonomous is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Foresight Autonomous' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Foresight Autonomous Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Foresight Autonomous within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Foresight Autonomous Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Foresight Autonomous for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Foresight Autonomous can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Foresight Autonomous had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
Foresight Autonomous has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
Foresight Autonomous has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 497 K. Net Loss for the year was (18.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 53 K. | |
Foresight Autonomous Holdings currently holds about 35.53 M in cash with (14.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.55. | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Foresight Granted Patent Approval in Japan for All-Weather and Lighting Conditions Vision System |
Foresight Autonomous Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Foresight Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Foresight Autonomous' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Foresight Autonomous' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.2 M |
Foresight Autonomous Technical Analysis
Foresight Autonomous' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Foresight Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Foresight Autonomous Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Foresight Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Foresight Autonomous Predictive Forecast Models
Foresight Autonomous' time-series forecasting models is one of many Foresight Autonomous' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Foresight Autonomous' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Foresight Autonomous
Checking the ongoing alerts about Foresight Autonomous for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Foresight Autonomous help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Foresight Autonomous had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
Foresight Autonomous has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
Foresight Autonomous has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 497 K. Net Loss for the year was (18.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 53 K. | |
Foresight Autonomous Holdings currently holds about 35.53 M in cash with (14.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.55. | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Foresight Granted Patent Approval in Japan for All-Weather and Lighting Conditions Vision System |
Check out Foresight Autonomous Backtesting, Foresight Autonomous Valuation, Foresight Autonomous Correlation, Foresight Autonomous Hype Analysis, Foresight Autonomous Volatility, Foresight Autonomous History as well as Foresight Autonomous Performance. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Complementary Tools for Foresight Stock analysis
When running Foresight Autonomous' price analysis, check to measure Foresight Autonomous' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Foresight Autonomous is operating at the current time. Most of Foresight Autonomous' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Foresight Autonomous' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Foresight Autonomous' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Foresight Autonomous to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Foresight Autonomous' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Foresight Autonomous. If investors know Foresight will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Foresight Autonomous listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.80) | Revenue Per Share 0.03 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.394 | Return On Assets (0.39) | Return On Equity (0.82) |
The market value of Foresight Autonomous is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Foresight that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Foresight Autonomous' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Foresight Autonomous' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Foresight Autonomous' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Foresight Autonomous' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Foresight Autonomous' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Foresight Autonomous is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Foresight Autonomous' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.