Retailing Portfolio Retailing Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 19.77
| FSRPX Fund | USD 19.60 0.02 0.10% |
Retailing |
Retailing Portfolio Target Price Odds to finish over 19.77
The tendency of Retailing Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 19.77 or more in 90 days |
| 19.60 | 90 days | 19.77 | about 7.9 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Retailing Portfolio to move over $ 19.77 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.9 (This Retailing Portfolio Retailing probability density function shows the probability of Retailing Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Retailing Portfolio price to stay between its current price of $ 19.60 and $ 19.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.19 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Retailing Portfolio has a beta of 0.98. This usually indicates Retailing Portfolio Retailing market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Retailing Portfolio is expected to follow. Additionally Retailing Portfolio Retailing has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Retailing Portfolio Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Retailing Portfolio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Retailing Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Retailing Portfolio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Retailing Portfolio Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Retailing Portfolio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Retailing Portfolio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Retailing Portfolio Retailing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Retailing Portfolio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0021 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0027 |
Retailing Portfolio Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Retailing Portfolio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Retailing Portfolio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Retailing Portfolio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains 99.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Retailing Portfolio Technical Analysis
Retailing Portfolio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Retailing Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Retailing Portfolio Retailing. In general, you should focus on analyzing Retailing Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Retailing Portfolio Predictive Forecast Models
Retailing Portfolio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Retailing Portfolio's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Retailing Portfolio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Retailing Portfolio
Checking the ongoing alerts about Retailing Portfolio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Retailing Portfolio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Retailing Portfolio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains 99.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Retailing Mutual Fund
Retailing Portfolio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Retailing Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Retailing with respect to the benefits of owning Retailing Portfolio security.
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance |