Lb Foster Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.16

FSTR Stock  USD 25.16  0.03  0.12%   
LB Foster's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on LB Foster. Implied volatility approximates the future value of LB Foster based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in LB Foster over a specific time period. For example, 2024-06-21 CALL at $22.5 is a CALL option contract on LB Foster's common stock with a strick price of 22.5 expiring on 2024-06-21. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.35, and an ask price of $5.6. The implied volatility as of the 13th of June 2024 is 86.3. View All FSTR options

Closest to current price FSTR long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

LB Foster's future price is the expected price of LB Foster instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LB Foster performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out LB Foster Backtesting, LB Foster Valuation, LB Foster Correlation, LB Foster Hype Analysis, LB Foster Volatility, LB Foster History as well as LB Foster Performance.
To learn how to invest in FSTR Stock, please use our How to Invest in LB Foster guide.
  
At this time, LB Foster's Price Earnings Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 06/13/2024, Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to 6.67, while Price Book Value Ratio is likely to drop 0.87. Please specify LB Foster's target price for which you would like LB Foster odds to be computed.

LB Foster Target Price Odds to finish over 25.16

The tendency of FSTR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.16 90 days 25.16 
about 68.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LB Foster to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 68.58 (This LB Foster probability density function shows the probability of FSTR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.5 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, LB Foster will likely underperform. Additionally LB Foster has an alpha of 0.1882, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   LB Foster Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LB Foster

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LB Foster. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LB Foster's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.6925.2627.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.8723.4426.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.1224.7027.27
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.2020.0022.20
Details

LB Foster Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LB Foster is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LB Foster's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LB Foster, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LB Foster within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.19
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.50
σ
Overall volatility
1.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

LB Foster Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LB Foster for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LB Foster can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: L.B. Foster Shares Rally 25 percent in 6 Months Heres Why

LB Foster Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FSTR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LB Foster's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LB Foster's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.6 M

LB Foster Technical Analysis

LB Foster's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FSTR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LB Foster. In general, you should focus on analyzing FSTR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LB Foster Predictive Forecast Models

LB Foster's time-series forecasting models is one of many LB Foster's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LB Foster's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LB Foster

Checking the ongoing alerts about LB Foster for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LB Foster help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: L.B. Foster Shares Rally 25 percent in 6 Months Heres Why

Additional Tools for FSTR Stock Analysis

When running LB Foster's price analysis, check to measure LB Foster's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LB Foster is operating at the current time. Most of LB Foster's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LB Foster's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LB Foster's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LB Foster to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.