Cedar Fair Lp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 44.69
FUN Stock | USD 38.46 0.18 0.47% |
Closest to current price Cedar long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Cedar |
Cedar Fair Target Price Odds to finish over 44.69
The tendency of Cedar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 44.69 or more in 90 days |
38.46 | 90 days | 44.69 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cedar Fair to move over $ 44.69 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cedar Fair LP probability density function shows the probability of Cedar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cedar Fair LP price to stay between its current price of $ 38.46 and $ 44.69 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.89 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Cedar Fair has a beta of 0.65. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Cedar Fair average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cedar Fair LP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cedar Fair LP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Cedar Fair Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Cedar Fair
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cedar Fair LP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cedar Fair's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cedar Fair Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cedar Fair is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cedar Fair's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cedar Fair LP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cedar Fair within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Cedar Fair Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cedar Fair for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cedar Fair LP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Cedar Fair LP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Cedar Fair LP has accumulated $2.36 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
The company has 2.36 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 76.24, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Cedar Fair LP has a current ratio of 0.92, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Cedar Fair until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cedar Fair's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cedar Fair LP sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cedar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cedar Fair's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
About 65.0% of Cedar Fair shares are owned by institutional investors | |
On 20th of March 2024 Cedar Fair paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Six Flags Announces Pricing of 850 Million of 6.625 percent Senior Secured Notes due 2032 |
Cedar Fair Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cedar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cedar Fair's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cedar Fair's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 51.5 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 65.8 M |
Cedar Fair Technical Analysis
Cedar Fair's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cedar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cedar Fair LP. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cedar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cedar Fair Predictive Forecast Models
Cedar Fair's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cedar Fair's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cedar Fair's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cedar Fair LP
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cedar Fair for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cedar Fair LP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cedar Fair LP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Cedar Fair LP has accumulated $2.36 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
The company has 2.36 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 76.24, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Cedar Fair LP has a current ratio of 0.92, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Cedar Fair until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cedar Fair's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cedar Fair LP sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cedar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cedar Fair's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
About 65.0% of Cedar Fair shares are owned by institutional investors | |
On 20th of March 2024 Cedar Fair paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Six Flags Announces Pricing of 850 Million of 6.625 percent Senior Secured Notes due 2032 |
Check out Cedar Fair Backtesting, Cedar Fair Valuation, Cedar Fair Correlation, Cedar Fair Hype Analysis, Cedar Fair Volatility, Cedar Fair History as well as Cedar Fair Performance. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
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When running Cedar Fair's price analysis, check to measure Cedar Fair's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cedar Fair is operating at the current time. Most of Cedar Fair's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cedar Fair's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cedar Fair's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cedar Fair to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cedar Fair's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cedar Fair. If investors know Cedar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cedar Fair listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 2.42 | Revenue Per Share 35.311 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.014 |
The market value of Cedar Fair LP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cedar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cedar Fair's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cedar Fair's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cedar Fair's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cedar Fair's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cedar Fair's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cedar Fair is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cedar Fair's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.