Futu Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 54.85
| FUTU Stock | USD 54.85 0.52 0.96% |
Closest to current price Futu long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Futu |
Futu Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 54.85
The tendency of Futu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 54.85 | 90 days | 54.85 | about 32.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Futu Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 32.67 (This Futu Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Futu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.94 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Futu Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Futu Holdings has an alpha of 0.1463, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Futu Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Futu Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Futu Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Futu Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Futu Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Futu Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Futu Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Futu Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Futu Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.94 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Futu Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Futu Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Futu Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Futu Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Futu Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Spotlight on Futu Hldgs Analyzing the Surge in Options Activity |
Futu Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Futu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Futu Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Futu Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 143.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 B |
Futu Holdings Technical Analysis
Futu Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Futu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Futu Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Futu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Futu Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Futu Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Futu Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Futu Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Futu Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Futu Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Futu Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Futu Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Futu Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Spotlight on Futu Hldgs Analyzing the Surge in Options Activity |
Check out Futu Holdings Backtesting, Futu Holdings Valuation, Futu Holdings Correlation, Futu Holdings Hype Analysis, Futu Holdings Volatility, Futu Holdings History as well as Futu Holdings Performance. For more information on how to buy Futu Stock please use our How to Invest in Futu Holdings guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Futu Stock analysis
When running Futu Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Futu Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Futu Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Futu Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Futu Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Futu Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Futu Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Futu Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Futu Holdings. If investors know Futu will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Futu Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Earnings Share 3.9 | Revenue Per Share 65.871 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.002 | Return On Assets 0.0447 |
The market value of Futu Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Futu that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Futu Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Futu Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Futu Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Futu Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Futu Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Futu Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Futu Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.