Arcimoto Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.41
FUV Stock | USD 0.41 0.01 2.38% |
Arcimoto |
Arcimoto Target Price Odds to finish over 0.41
The tendency of Arcimoto Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
0.41 | 90 days | 0.41 | more than 94.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arcimoto to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Arcimoto probability density function shows the probability of Arcimoto Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Arcimoto has a beta of 0.49. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Arcimoto average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Arcimoto will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Arcimoto has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Arcimoto Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Arcimoto
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arcimoto. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Arcimoto's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Arcimoto Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arcimoto is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arcimoto's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arcimoto, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arcimoto within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -1 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.33 |
Arcimoto Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arcimoto for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arcimoto can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Arcimoto generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Arcimoto has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
Arcimoto has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
Arcimoto has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.56 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (62.88 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (16.7 M). | |
Arcimoto has about 4.22 M in cash with (47.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08. | |
Arcimoto has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Roughly 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Short Interest in Arcimoto, Inc. Expands By 5.6 percent - Defense World |
Arcimoto Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arcimoto Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arcimoto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arcimoto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 462.8 K |
Arcimoto Technical Analysis
Arcimoto's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arcimoto Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arcimoto. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arcimoto Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Arcimoto Predictive Forecast Models
Arcimoto's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arcimoto's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arcimoto's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Arcimoto
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arcimoto for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arcimoto help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arcimoto generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Arcimoto has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
Arcimoto has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
Arcimoto has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.56 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (62.88 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (16.7 M). | |
Arcimoto has about 4.22 M in cash with (47.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08. | |
Arcimoto has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Roughly 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Short Interest in Arcimoto, Inc. Expands By 5.6 percent - Defense World |
Check out Arcimoto Backtesting, Arcimoto Valuation, Arcimoto Correlation, Arcimoto Hype Analysis, Arcimoto Volatility, Arcimoto History as well as Arcimoto Performance. For more information on how to buy Arcimoto Stock please use our How to Invest in Arcimoto guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Complementary Tools for Arcimoto Stock analysis
When running Arcimoto's price analysis, check to measure Arcimoto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arcimoto is operating at the current time. Most of Arcimoto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arcimoto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arcimoto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arcimoto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Arcimoto's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arcimoto. If investors know Arcimoto will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arcimoto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (9.72) | Revenue Per Share 1.019 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.45) | Return On Assets (0.37) | Return On Equity (2.01) |
The market value of Arcimoto is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arcimoto that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arcimoto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arcimoto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arcimoto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arcimoto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arcimoto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arcimoto is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arcimoto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.