Furukawa Electric Co Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 10.48

FUWAY Stock  USD 10.83  0.00  0.00%   
Furukawa Electric's future price is the expected price of Furukawa Electric instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Furukawa Electric Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Furukawa Electric Backtesting, Furukawa Electric Valuation, Furukawa Electric Correlation, Furukawa Electric Hype Analysis, Furukawa Electric Volatility, Furukawa Electric History as well as Furukawa Electric Performance.
  
Please specify Furukawa Electric's target price for which you would like Furukawa Electric odds to be computed.

Furukawa Electric Target Price Odds to finish below 10.48

The tendency of Furukawa Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 10.48  or more in 90 days
 10.83 90 days 10.48 
about 77.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Furukawa Electric to drop to $ 10.48  or more in 90 days from now is about 77.92 (This Furukawa Electric Co probability density function shows the probability of Furukawa Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Furukawa Electric price to stay between $ 10.48  and its current price of $10.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.13 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Furukawa Electric has a beta of 0.4. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Furukawa Electric average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Furukawa Electric Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Furukawa Electric Co has an alpha of 0.4836, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Furukawa Electric Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Furukawa Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Furukawa Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Furukawa Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.2310.8313.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.3211.9214.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Furukawa Electric. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Furukawa Electric's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Furukawa Electric's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Furukawa Electric.

Furukawa Electric Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Furukawa Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Furukawa Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Furukawa Electric Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Furukawa Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.48
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.40
σ
Overall volatility
0.97
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Furukawa Electric Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Furukawa Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Furukawa Electric can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Furukawa Electric Co has accumulated about 61.85 B in cash with (13.27 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 439.41, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Furukawa Electric Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Furukawa Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Furukawa Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Furukawa Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding140.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments68.4 B

Furukawa Electric Technical Analysis

Furukawa Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Furukawa Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Furukawa Electric Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Furukawa Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Furukawa Electric Predictive Forecast Models

Furukawa Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Furukawa Electric's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Furukawa Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Furukawa Electric

Checking the ongoing alerts about Furukawa Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Furukawa Electric help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Furukawa Electric Co has accumulated about 61.85 B in cash with (13.27 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 439.41, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Check out Furukawa Electric Backtesting, Furukawa Electric Valuation, Furukawa Electric Correlation, Furukawa Electric Hype Analysis, Furukawa Electric Volatility, Furukawa Electric History as well as Furukawa Electric Performance.
Note that the Furukawa Electric information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Furukawa Electric's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

Complementary Tools for Furukawa Pink Sheet analysis

When running Furukawa Electric's price analysis, check to measure Furukawa Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Furukawa Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Furukawa Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Furukawa Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Furukawa Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Furukawa Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Please note, there is a significant difference between Furukawa Electric's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Furukawa Electric is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Furukawa Electric's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.