Aranjin Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.03
| FVVSF Stock | USD 0 0.00 0.00% |
Aranjin |
Aranjin Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 0.03
The tendency of Aranjin Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.03 or more in 90 days |
| 0 | 90 days | 0.03 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aranjin Resources to move over $ 0.03 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Aranjin Resources probability density function shows the probability of Aranjin Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aranjin Resources price to stay between its current price of $ 0 and $ 0.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.95 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aranjin Resources will likely underperform. Additionally Aranjin Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Aranjin Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aranjin Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aranjin Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aranjin Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aranjin Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aranjin Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aranjin Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aranjin Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aranjin Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -1.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Aranjin Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aranjin Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aranjin Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aranjin Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aranjin Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Aranjin Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company has accumulated 747.58 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.59, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Aranjin Resources has a current ratio of 0.2, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Aranjin Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aranjin Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aranjin Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aranjin to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aranjin Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 200.72 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.52 K. | |
| Aranjin Resources has accumulated about 259.63 K in cash with (419.17 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of Aranjin Resources shares are held by company insiders |
Aranjin Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aranjin Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aranjin Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aranjin Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 269.2 M |
Aranjin Resources Technical Analysis
Aranjin Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aranjin Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aranjin Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aranjin Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aranjin Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Aranjin Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Aranjin Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aranjin Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aranjin Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aranjin Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aranjin Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aranjin Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aranjin Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Aranjin Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company has accumulated 747.58 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.59, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Aranjin Resources has a current ratio of 0.2, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Aranjin Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aranjin Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aranjin Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aranjin to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aranjin Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 200.72 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.52 K. | |
| Aranjin Resources has accumulated about 259.63 K in cash with (419.17 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of Aranjin Resources shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Aranjin Resources Backtesting, Aranjin Resources Valuation, Aranjin Resources Correlation, Aranjin Resources Hype Analysis, Aranjin Resources Volatility, Aranjin Resources History as well as Aranjin Resources Performance. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Complementary Tools for Aranjin Pink Sheet analysis
When running Aranjin Resources' price analysis, check to measure Aranjin Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aranjin Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Aranjin Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aranjin Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aranjin Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aranjin Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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