GAAAX Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 24.12

GAAAX Fund  USD 24.12  0.01  0.0415%   
GMO Opportunistic's future price is the expected price of GMO Opportunistic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GMO Opportunistic Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check GMO Opportunistic Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, GMO Opportunistic Correlation, GMO Opportunistic Hype Analysis, GMO Opportunistic Volatility, GMO Opportunistic History as well as GMO Opportunistic Performance. Please specify GMO Opportunistic time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GMO Opportunistic odds to be computed.

GMO Opportunistic Target Price Odds to finish over 24.12

The tendency of GAAAX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 24.12 90 days 24.12 
about 5.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GMO Opportunistic to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.99 (This GMO Opportunistic Income probability density function shows the probability of GAAAX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon GMO Opportunistic has a beta of 0.0364. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GMO Opportunistic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GMO Opportunistic Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0391, implying that it can generate a 0.0391 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GMO Opportunistic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GMO Opportunistic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GMO Opportunistic Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of GMO Opportunistic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of GMO Opportunistic in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
23.5224.1224.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
21.7126.2026.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
23.5424.1424.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.6323.9124.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GMO Opportunistic. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GMO Opportunistic's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GMO Opportunistic's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in GMO Opportunistic Income.

GMO Opportunistic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GMO Opportunistic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GMO Opportunistic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GMO Opportunistic Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GMO Opportunistic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.039072
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.0364
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

GMO Opportunistic Technical Analysis

GMO Opportunistic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GAAAX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GMO Opportunistic Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing GAAAX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GMO Opportunistic Predictive Forecast Models

GMO Opportunistic time-series forecasting models is one of many GMO Opportunistic's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary GMO Opportunistic's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards GMO Opportunistic in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, GMO Opportunistic's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from GMO Opportunistic options trading.
Please check GMO Opportunistic Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, GMO Opportunistic Correlation, GMO Opportunistic Hype Analysis, GMO Opportunistic Volatility, GMO Opportunistic History as well as GMO Opportunistic Performance. Note that the GMO Opportunistic Income information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other GMO Opportunistic's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

Complementary Tools for GAAAX Mutual Fund analysis

When running GMO Opportunistic Income price analysis, check to measure GMO Opportunistic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GMO Opportunistic is operating at the current time. Most of GMO Opportunistic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GMO Opportunistic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GMO Opportunistic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GMO Opportunistic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between GMO Opportunistic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine GMO Opportunistic value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GMO Opportunistic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.