Gaia Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.68

GAIA Stock  USD 2.90  0.01  0.34%   
Gaia's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Gaia Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Gaia based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Gaia Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $2.5 is a CALL option contract on Gaia's common stock with a strick price of 2.5 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.1, and an ask price of $0.65. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 166.44. View All Gaia options

Closest to current price Gaia long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Gaia's future price is the expected price of Gaia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gaia Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gaia Backtesting, Gaia Valuation, Gaia Correlation, Gaia Hype Analysis, Gaia Volatility, Gaia History as well as Gaia Performance.
  
The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 0.20, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is projected to grow to (15.41). Please specify Gaia's target price for which you would like Gaia odds to be computed.

Gaia Target Price Odds to finish below 2.68

The tendency of Gaia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 2.68  or more in 90 days
 2.90 90 days 2.68 
about 1.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gaia to drop to $ 2.68  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.36 (This Gaia Inc probability density function shows the probability of Gaia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gaia Inc price to stay between $ 2.68  and its current price of $2.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.6 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.32 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Gaia will likely underperform. Additionally Gaia Inc has an alpha of 0.0322, implying that it can generate a 0.0322 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gaia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gaia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gaia Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gaia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.812.904.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.833.926.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.782.874.96
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.377.007.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gaia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gaia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gaia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gaia Inc.

Gaia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gaia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gaia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gaia Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gaia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Gaia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gaia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gaia Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company currently holds 22.34 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.15, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Gaia Inc has a current ratio of 0.42, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Gaia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gaia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gaia Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gaia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gaia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 79.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.37 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 71.12 M.
About 21.0% of Gaia shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Gaia Sets Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Conference Call for Wednesday, March 27, 2024, at 430 p.m. ET

Gaia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gaia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gaia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gaia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments11.6 M

Gaia Technical Analysis

Gaia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gaia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gaia Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gaia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gaia Predictive Forecast Models

Gaia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gaia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gaia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gaia Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gaia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gaia Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company currently holds 22.34 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.15, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Gaia Inc has a current ratio of 0.42, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Gaia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gaia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gaia Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gaia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gaia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 79.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.37 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 71.12 M.
About 21.0% of Gaia shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Gaia Sets Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Conference Call for Wednesday, March 27, 2024, at 430 p.m. ET
When determining whether Gaia Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gaia's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gaia Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gaia Inc Stock:
Check out Gaia Backtesting, Gaia Valuation, Gaia Correlation, Gaia Hype Analysis, Gaia Volatility, Gaia History as well as Gaia Performance.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

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When running Gaia's price analysis, check to measure Gaia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gaia is operating at the current time. Most of Gaia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gaia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gaia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gaia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Gaia's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gaia. If investors know Gaia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gaia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.88)
Earnings Share
(0.20)
Revenue Per Share
3.791
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.016
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of Gaia Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gaia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gaia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gaia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gaia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gaia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gaia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gaia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gaia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.