Gatx Corporation Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 108.96

GATX Stock  USD 134.03  0.10  0.07%   
GATX's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on GATX Corporation. Implied volatility approximates the future value of GATX based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in GATX Corporation over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $135.0 is a CALL option contract on GATX's common stock with a strick price of 135.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-11 at 15:49:50 for $3.63 and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.6, and an ask price of $3.4. The implied volatility as of the 29th of March is 21.85. View All GATX options

Closest to current price GATX long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

GATX's future price is the expected price of GATX instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GATX Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GATX Backtesting, GATX Valuation, GATX Correlation, GATX Hype Analysis, GATX Volatility, GATX History as well as GATX Performance.
  
At this time, GATX's Price To Sales Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to rise to 0.18 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 15.73 in 2024. Please specify GATX's target price for which you would like GATX odds to be computed.

GATX Target Price Odds to finish below 108.96

The tendency of GATX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 108.96  or more in 90 days
 134.03 90 days 108.96 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GATX to drop to $ 108.96  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This GATX Corporation probability density function shows the probability of GATX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GATX price to stay between $ 108.96  and its current price of $134.03 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.53 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.35 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, GATX will likely underperform. Additionally GATX Corporation has an alpha of 0.0081, implying that it can generate a 0.008126 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GATX Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GATX

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GATX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GATX's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
132.63134.03135.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
113.87115.27147.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
128.85130.25131.65
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
122.67134.80149.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GATX. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GATX's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GATX's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GATX.

GATX Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GATX is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GATX's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GATX Corporation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GATX within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.35
σ
Overall volatility
5.28
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

GATX Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GATX for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GATX can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Heres Why You Should Retain Spirit Airlines Stock Now

GATX Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GATX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GATX's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GATX's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments450.8 M

GATX Technical Analysis

GATX's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GATX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GATX Corporation. In general, you should focus on analyzing GATX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GATX Predictive Forecast Models

GATX's time-series forecasting models is one of many GATX's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GATX's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GATX

Checking the ongoing alerts about GATX for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GATX help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Heres Why You Should Retain Spirit Airlines Stock Now
When determining whether GATX offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of GATX's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gatx Corporation Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gatx Corporation Stock:
Check out GATX Backtesting, GATX Valuation, GATX Correlation, GATX Hype Analysis, GATX Volatility, GATX History as well as GATX Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

Complementary Tools for GATX Stock analysis

When running GATX's price analysis, check to measure GATX's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GATX is operating at the current time. Most of GATX's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GATX's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GATX's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GATX to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Is GATX's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GATX. If investors know GATX will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GATX listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.331
Dividend Share
2.2
Earnings Share
7.13
Revenue Per Share
39.521
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.143
The market value of GATX is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GATX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GATX's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GATX's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GATX's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GATX's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GATX's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GATX is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GATX's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.