GATX Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 97.31

GATX -  USA Stock  

USD 92.29  1.57  1.73%

GATX Corp's future price is the expected price of GATX Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GATX Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Book Value is likely to drop to 1.46 in 2021. Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to drop to 15.83 in 2021.

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GATX Corp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on GATX Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of GATX Corp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in GATX Corp over a specific time period. For example, GATX210820C00090000 is a CALL option contract on GATX Corp's common stock with a strick price of 90.0 expiring on 2021-08-20. The contract was last traded on 2021-07-28 at 15:25:56 for $3.0 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.6, and an ask price of $3.1. The implied volatility as of the 29th of July is 29.6479. View All GATX Corp options

Closest to current price GATX Corp long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check GATX Corp Backtesting, GATX Corp Valuation, GATX Corp Correlation, GATX Corp Hype Analysis, GATX Corp Volatility, GATX Corp History as well as GATX Corp Performance. Please specify GATX Corp time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GATX Corp odds to be computed.
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GATX Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 97.31

The tendency of GATX Corp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 97.31  or more in 90 days
 92.29 90 days 97.31  about 27.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GATX Corp to move over $ 97.31  or more in 90 days from now is about 27.84 (This GATX Corp probability density function shows the probability of GATX Corp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GATX Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 92.29  and $ 97.31  at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.67 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, GATX Corp will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. GATX Corp is significantly underperforming DOW.
 GATX Corp Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for GATX Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GATX Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of GATX Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of GATX Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
90.5692.3694.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
83.1894.4996.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
91.1192.9294.72
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
73.0095.25104.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GATX Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GATX Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GATX Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in GATX Corp.

GATX Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GATX Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GATX Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GATX Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GATX Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.15
β
Beta against DOW1.67
σ
Overall volatility
5.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

GATX Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GATX Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GATX Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GATX Corp generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
GATX Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Packaging Corp to Post Q2 Earnings Whats in the Cards - Nasdaq

GATX Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GATX Corp Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GATX Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GATX Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out11.95%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.94
Short Percent Of Float17.30%
Float Shares34.98M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day179.11k
Shares Short Prior Month4.24M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month157.56k
Date Short Interest28th of May 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.18%

GATX Corp Technical Analysis

GATX Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GATX Corp Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GATX Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing GATX Corp Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GATX Corp Predictive Forecast Models

GATX Corp time-series forecasting models is one of many GATX Corp's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary GATX Corp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GATX Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about GATX Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GATX Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

GATX Corp Alerts

GATX Corp Alerts and Suggestions

GATX Corp generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
GATX Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Packaging Corp to Post Q2 Earnings Whats in the Cards - Nasdaq
Please check GATX Corp Backtesting, GATX Corp Valuation, GATX Corp Correlation, GATX Corp Hype Analysis, GATX Corp Volatility, GATX Corp History as well as GATX Corp Performance. Note that the GATX Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other GATX Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

Complementary Tools for GATX Corp Stock analysis

When running GATX Corp price analysis, check to measure GATX Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GATX Corp is operating at the current time. Most of GATX Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GATX Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GATX Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GATX Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of GATX Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GATX Corp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GATX Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GATX Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GATX Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GATX Corp underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GATX Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine GATX Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GATX Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.