Global Blue Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.87
| GB Stock | USD 4.87 0.39 7.41% |
Closest to current price Global long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Global |
Global Blue Target Price Odds to finish over 4.87
The tendency of Global Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.87 | 90 days | 4.87 | about 33.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Blue to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 33.24 (This Global Blue Group probability density function shows the probability of Global Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Global Blue Group has a beta of -0.0525. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Global Blue are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Global Blue Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Global Blue Group has an alpha of 0.2123, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Global Blue Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Global Blue
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Blue Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Blue's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Global Blue Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Blue is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Blue's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Blue Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Blue within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Global Blue Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Blue for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Blue Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Global Blue Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 311.49 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (22.45 M) with gross profit of 14.14 M. | |
| Global Blue Group reports about 112.02 M in cash with (1.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.19. | |
| Global Blue Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Global Blue Releases the Monthly Tax Free Shopping Business Update for March 2024 |
Global Blue Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Global Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Global Blue's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Blue's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 228.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 240.5 M |
Global Blue Technical Analysis
Global Blue's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Blue Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Global Blue Predictive Forecast Models
Global Blue's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Blue's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Blue's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Global Blue Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Blue for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Blue Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Global Blue Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 311.49 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (22.45 M) with gross profit of 14.14 M. | |
| Global Blue Group reports about 112.02 M in cash with (1.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.19. | |
| Global Blue Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Global Blue Releases the Monthly Tax Free Shopping Business Update for March 2024 |
Check out Global Blue Backtesting, Global Blue Valuation, Global Blue Correlation, Global Blue Hype Analysis, Global Blue Volatility, Global Blue History as well as Global Blue Performance. Note that the Global Blue Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Global Blue's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Complementary Tools for Global Stock analysis
When running Global Blue's price analysis, check to measure Global Blue's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Blue is operating at the current time. Most of Global Blue's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Blue's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Blue's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Blue to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Global Blue's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Global Blue. If investors know Global will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Global Blue listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 19.988 | Earnings Share 0.1 | Revenue Per Share 1.756 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.262 | Return On Assets 0.0528 |
The market value of Global Blue Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Global that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Global Blue's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Global Blue's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Global Blue's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Global Blue's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Blue's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Blue is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Blue's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.