General Electric Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 77.58
GE Stock | USD 180.12 6.57 3.79% |
Closest to current price General long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
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General Electric Target Price Odds to finish over 77.58
The tendency of General Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 77.58 in 90 days |
180.12 | 90 days | 77.58 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of General Electric to stay above $ 77.58 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This General Electric probability density function shows the probability of General Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of General Electric price to stay between $ 77.58 and its current price of $180.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.31 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, General Electric will likely underperform. Additionally General Electric has an alpha of 0.3667, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). General Electric Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for General Electric
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as General Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of General Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
General Electric Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. General Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the General Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold General Electric, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of General Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 17.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.33 |
General Electric Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of General Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for General Electric can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.General is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: SP 500 to add 3M and GE spin-offs, replacing VF and Dentsply Sirona |
General Electric Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of General Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential General Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.7 B |
General Electric Technical Analysis
General Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. General Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of General Electric. In general, you should focus on analyzing General Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
General Electric Predictive Forecast Models
General Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many General Electric's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary General Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about General Electric
Checking the ongoing alerts about General Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for General Electric help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
General is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: SP 500 to add 3M and GE spin-offs, replacing VF and Dentsply Sirona |
Check out General Electric Backtesting, General Electric Valuation, General Electric Correlation, General Electric Hype Analysis, General Electric Volatility, General Electric History as well as General Electric Performance. For information on how to trade General Stock refer to our How to Trade General Stock guide.Note that the General Electric information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other General Electric's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Complementary Tools for General Stock analysis
When running General Electric's price analysis, check to measure General Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy General Electric is operating at the current time. Most of General Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of General Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move General Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of General Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is General Electric's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of General Electric. If investors know General will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about General Electric listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share 7.98 | Revenue Per Share 62.4 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.154 |
The market value of General Electric is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of General that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of General Electric's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is General Electric's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because General Electric's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect General Electric's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between General Electric's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if General Electric is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, General Electric's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.