Great Eagle Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.55

GEAHF Stock  USD 1.53  0.05  3.16%   
Great Eagle's future price is the expected price of Great Eagle instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Great Eagle Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Great Eagle Backtesting, Great Eagle Valuation, Great Eagle Correlation, Great Eagle Hype Analysis, Great Eagle Volatility, Great Eagle History as well as Great Eagle Performance.
  
Please specify Great Eagle's target price for which you would like Great Eagle odds to be computed.

Great Eagle Target Price Odds to finish over 1.55

The tendency of Great Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 1.55  or more in 90 days
 1.53 90 days 1.55 
about 26.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Great Eagle to move over $ 1.55  or more in 90 days from now is about 26.98 (This Great Eagle Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Great Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Great Eagle Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 1.53  and $ 1.55  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.66 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Great Eagle Holdings has a beta of -1.03. This usually indicates Additionally Great Eagle Holdings has an alpha of 0.0725, implying that it can generate a 0.0725 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Great Eagle Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Great Eagle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Great Eagle Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Great Eagle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.534.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.283.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.504.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.381.551.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Great Eagle. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Great Eagle's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Great Eagle's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Great Eagle Holdings.

Great Eagle Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Great Eagle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Great Eagle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Great Eagle Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Great Eagle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-1.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Great Eagle Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Great Eagle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Great Eagle Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Great Eagle Holdings may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 7.83 B. Net Loss for the year was (499.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.2 B.
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Great Eagle Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Great Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Great Eagle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Great Eagle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding731 M

Great Eagle Technical Analysis

Great Eagle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Great Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Great Eagle Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Great Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Great Eagle Predictive Forecast Models

Great Eagle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Great Eagle's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Great Eagle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Great Eagle Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Great Eagle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Great Eagle Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Great Eagle Holdings may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 7.83 B. Net Loss for the year was (499.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.2 B.
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Great Pink Sheet

Great Eagle financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great with respect to the benefits of owning Great Eagle security.