Nationwide International Index Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.93
| GIIRX Fund | USD 8.63 0.02 0.23% |
Nationwide |
Nationwide International Target Price Odds to finish over 9.93
The tendency of Nationwide Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 9.93 or more in 90 days |
| 8.63 | 90 days | 9.93 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nationwide International to move over $ 9.93 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nationwide International Index probability density function shows the probability of Nationwide Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nationwide International price to stay between its current price of $ 8.63 and $ 9.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.73 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nationwide International has a beta of 0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Nationwide International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nationwide International Index will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nationwide International Index has an alpha of 0.0028, implying that it can generate a 0.002801 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Nationwide International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nationwide International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nationwide International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nationwide International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nationwide International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nationwide International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nationwide International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nationwide International Index, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nationwide International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Nationwide International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nationwide International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nationwide International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains 99.41% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Nationwide International Technical Analysis
Nationwide International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nationwide Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nationwide International Index. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nationwide Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nationwide International Predictive Forecast Models
Nationwide International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nationwide International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nationwide International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nationwide International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nationwide International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nationwide International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains 99.41% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Nationwide International Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Nationwide International Correlation, Nationwide International Hype Analysis, Nationwide International Volatility, Nationwide International History as well as Nationwide International Performance. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.