Gores Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.03

GIIXU -  USA Stock  

USD 10.03  0.04  0.40%

Gores Holdings' future price is the expected price of Gores Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gores Holdings ViII performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Gores Price Probability 

 
Refresh
Please check Gores Holdings Backtesting, Gores Holdings Valuation, Gores Holdings Correlation, Gores Holdings Hype Analysis, Gores Holdings Volatility, Gores Holdings History as well as Gores Holdings Performance. Please specify Gores Holdings time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Gores Holdings odds to be computed.
Apply Odds

Gores Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 10.03

The tendency of Gores Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.03 90 days 10.03  about 21.37
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gores Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 21.37 (This Gores Holdings ViII probability density function shows the probability of Gores Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gores Holdings has a beta of 0.0316. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gores Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gores Holdings ViII will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0162, implying that it can generate a 0.0162 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Gores Holdings Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Gores Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gores Holdings ViII. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gores Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Gores Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.6410.0310.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
9.6410.0310.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.6610.0510.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.9010.0310.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gores Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gores Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gores Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Gores Holdings ViII.

Gores Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gores Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gores Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gores Holdings ViII, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gores Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.016199
β
Beta against DOW0.0316
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Gores Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gores Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gores Holdings ViII can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gores Holdings ViII has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (3.6 K).
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: GORES HOLDINGS VIII INC. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations - marketscreener.com

Gores Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gores Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gores Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gores Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares35.42M
Shares Short Prior Month29.15k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day25.08k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month11.68k
Date Short Interest15th of September 2021

Gores Holdings Technical Analysis

Gores Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gores Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gores Holdings ViII. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gores Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gores Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Gores Holdings time-series forecasting models is one of many Gores Holdings' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Gores Holdings' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gores Holdings ViII

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gores Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gores Holdings ViII help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Gores Holdings Alerts

Gores Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

Gores Holdings ViII has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (3.6 K).
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: GORES HOLDINGS VIII INC. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations - marketscreener.com
Please check Gores Holdings Backtesting, Gores Holdings Valuation, Gores Holdings Correlation, Gores Holdings Hype Analysis, Gores Holdings Volatility, Gores Holdings History as well as Gores Holdings Performance. Note that the Gores Holdings ViII information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Gores Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

Complementary Tools for Gores Stock analysis

When running Gores Holdings ViII price analysis, check to measure Gores Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gores Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Gores Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gores Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gores Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gores Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Go
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Go
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Go
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Go
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Go
Is Gores Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gores Holdings. If investors know Gores will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gores Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Gores Holdings ViII is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gores that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gores Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gores Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gores Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gores Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gores Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Gores Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gores Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.