GuideStone Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.93

GIIYX -  USA Fund  

USD 12.93  0.03  0.23%

GuideStone Funds' future price is the expected price of GuideStone Funds instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GuideStone Funds International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Please check GuideStone Funds Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, GuideStone Funds Correlation, GuideStone Funds Hype Analysis, GuideStone Funds Volatility, GuideStone Funds History as well as GuideStone Funds Performance. Please specify GuideStone Funds time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GuideStone Funds odds to be computed.
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GuideStone Funds Target Price Odds to finish over 12.93

The tendency of GuideStone Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.93 90 days 12.93  about 10.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GuideStone Funds to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.84 (This GuideStone Funds International probability density function shows the probability of GuideStone Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon GuideStone Funds International has a beta of -0.0462. This usually indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding GuideStone Funds are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, GuideStone Funds International is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. GuideStone Funds Int is significantly underperforming DOW.
 GuideStone Funds Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for GuideStone Funds

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GuideStone Funds Int. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of GuideStone Funds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of GuideStone Funds in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
12.2412.9013.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
12.1112.7713.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GuideStone Funds. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GuideStone Funds' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GuideStone Funds' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in GuideStone Funds Int.

GuideStone Funds Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GuideStone Funds is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GuideStone Funds' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GuideStone Funds International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GuideStone Funds within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.0035
β
Beta against DOW-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

GuideStone Funds Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GuideStone Funds for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GuideStone Funds Int can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
GuideStone Funds Int retains 96.02% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

GuideStone Funds Technical Analysis

GuideStone Funds' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GuideStone Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GuideStone Funds International. In general, you should focus on analyzing GuideStone Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GuideStone Funds Predictive Forecast Models

GuideStone Funds time-series forecasting models is one of many GuideStone Funds' mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary GuideStone Funds' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GuideStone Funds Int

Checking the ongoing alerts about GuideStone Funds for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GuideStone Funds Int help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

GuideStone Funds Alerts

GuideStone Funds Alerts and Suggestions

The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
GuideStone Funds Int retains 96.02% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Please check GuideStone Funds Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, GuideStone Funds Correlation, GuideStone Funds Hype Analysis, GuideStone Funds Volatility, GuideStone Funds History as well as GuideStone Funds Performance. Note that the GuideStone Funds Int information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other GuideStone Funds' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Complementary Tools for GuideStone Mutual Fund analysis

When running GuideStone Funds Int price analysis, check to measure GuideStone Funds' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GuideStone Funds is operating at the current time. Most of GuideStone Funds' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GuideStone Funds' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GuideStone Funds' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GuideStone Funds to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between GuideStone Funds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine GuideStone Funds value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GuideStone Funds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.