Grifols OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 13.41

GIKLY -  USA Stock  

USD 13.41  0.00  0.00%

Grifols Sa's future price is the expected price of Grifols Sa instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Grifols Sa ADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Search Price Probability 

 
Refresh
Please check Grifols Sa Backtesting, Grifols Sa Valuation, Grifols Sa Correlation, Grifols Sa Hype Analysis, Grifols Sa Volatility, Grifols Sa History as well as Grifols Sa Performance. Please specify Grifols Sa time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Grifols Sa odds to be computed.
Apply Odds

Grifols Sa Target Price Odds to finish over 13.41

The tendency of Grifols OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.41 90 days 13.41  about 10.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grifols Sa to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.56 (This Grifols Sa ADR probability density function shows the probability of Grifols OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Grifols Sa has a beta of 0.0504. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Grifols Sa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Grifols Sa ADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Grifols Sa ADR is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Grifols Sa Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Grifols Sa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grifols Sa ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grifols Sa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Grifols Sa in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
10.9013.4115.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.3412.8515.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.6613.1815.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.1512.2213.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Grifols Sa. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Grifols Sa's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Grifols Sa's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Grifols Sa ADR.

Grifols Sa Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grifols Sa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grifols Sa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grifols Sa ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grifols Sa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.02
β
Beta against DOW0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Grifols Sa Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grifols Sa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grifols Sa ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grifols Sa ADR generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from www.investorsobserver.com: What do the Fundamentals Predict for Grifols SA - ADR ADR Class B Stock - InvestorsObserver

Grifols Sa Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grifols OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grifols Sa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grifols Sa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.36
Float Shares1.1B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day50
Average Daily Volume In Three Month966
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.02%

Grifols Sa Technical Analysis

Grifols Sa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grifols OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grifols Sa ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grifols OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Grifols Sa Predictive Forecast Models

Grifols Sa time-series forecasting models is one of many Grifols Sa's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Grifols Sa's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Grifols Sa ADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about Grifols Sa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grifols Sa ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Grifols Sa Alerts

Grifols Sa Alerts and Suggestions

Grifols Sa ADR generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from www.investorsobserver.com: What do the Fundamentals Predict for Grifols SA - ADR ADR Class B Stock - InvestorsObserver
Please check Grifols Sa Backtesting, Grifols Sa Valuation, Grifols Sa Correlation, Grifols Sa Hype Analysis, Grifols Sa Volatility, Grifols Sa History as well as Grifols Sa Performance. Note that the Grifols Sa ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Grifols Sa's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

Complementary Tools for Grifols OTC Stock analysis

When running Grifols Sa ADR price analysis, check to measure Grifols Sa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grifols Sa is operating at the current time. Most of Grifols Sa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grifols Sa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grifols Sa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grifols Sa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Go
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Go
Stock Screener
Find equities using custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Go
Bond Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Go
Equity Search
Search for activelly traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Go
The market value of Grifols Sa ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grifols that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grifols Sa's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grifols Sa's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grifols Sa's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grifols Sa ADR underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grifols Sa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Grifols Sa value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grifols Sa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.