Guidemark Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 29.69

GILGX -  USA Fund  

USD 29.69  0.00  0.00%

Guidemark Large's future price is the expected price of Guidemark Large instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Guidemark Large Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Please check Guidemark Large Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Guidemark Large Correlation, Guidemark Large Hype Analysis, Guidemark Large Volatility, Guidemark Large History as well as Guidemark Large Performance. Please specify Guidemark Large time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Guidemark Large odds to be computed.
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Guidemark Large Target Price Odds to finish over 29.69

The tendency of Guidemark Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 29.69 90 days 29.69  about 63.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guidemark Large to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 63.06 (This Guidemark Large Cap probability density function shows the probability of Guidemark Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guidemark Large Cap has a beta of -0.0794. This usually indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Guidemark Large are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Guidemark Large Cap is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0358, implying that it can generate a 0.0358 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Guidemark Large Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Guidemark Large

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guidemark Large Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guidemark Large's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Guidemark Large in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
29.0129.6930.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
28.0128.6932.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
28.8629.5430.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.2130.1531.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guidemark Large. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guidemark Large's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guidemark Large's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Guidemark Large Cap.

Guidemark Large Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guidemark Large is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guidemark Large's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guidemark Large Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guidemark Large within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.035834
β
Beta against DOW-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.63
Ir
Information ratio 0.00008549

Guidemark Large Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guidemark Large for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guidemark Large Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Guidemark Large Cap is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund retains 99.13% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Guidemark Large Technical Analysis

Guidemark Large's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guidemark Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guidemark Large Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guidemark Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Guidemark Large Predictive Forecast Models

Guidemark Large time-series forecasting models is one of many Guidemark Large's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Guidemark Large's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Guidemark Large Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guidemark Large for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guidemark Large Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Guidemark Large Alerts

Guidemark Large Alerts and Suggestions

Guidemark Large Cap is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund retains 99.13% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Please check Guidemark Large Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Guidemark Large Correlation, Guidemark Large Hype Analysis, Guidemark Large Volatility, Guidemark Large History as well as Guidemark Large Performance. Note that the Guidemark Large Cap information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Guidemark Large's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

Complementary Tools for Guidemark Mutual Fund analysis

When running Guidemark Large Cap price analysis, check to measure Guidemark Large's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guidemark Large is operating at the current time. Most of Guidemark Large's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guidemark Large's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guidemark Large's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guidemark Large to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Guidemark Large's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Guidemark Large value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guidemark Large's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.