Guggenheim Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 27.40

GILIX -  USA Fund  

USD 28.39  0.19  0.66%

Guggenheim Styleplus' future price is the expected price of Guggenheim Styleplus instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Guggenheim Styleplus - performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Guggenheim Price Probability 

 
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Please check Guggenheim Styleplus Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Guggenheim Styleplus Correlation, Guggenheim Styleplus Hype Analysis, Guggenheim Styleplus Volatility, Guggenheim Styleplus History as well as Guggenheim Styleplus Performance. Please specify Guggenheim Styleplus time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Guggenheim Styleplus odds to be computed.
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Guggenheim Styleplus Target Price Odds to finish below 27.40

The tendency of Guggenheim Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 27.40  or more in 90 days
 28.39 90 days 27.40  about 12.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guggenheim Styleplus to drop to $ 27.40  or more in 90 days from now is about 12.72 (This Guggenheim Styleplus - probability density function shows the probability of Guggenheim Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guggenheim Styleplus price to stay between $ 27.40  and its current price of $28.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.09 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guggenheim Styleplus has a beta of 0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Guggenheim Styleplus average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Guggenheim Styleplus - will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0789, implying that it can generate a 0.0789 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Guggenheim Styleplus Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Guggenheim Styleplus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guggenheim Styleplus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guggenheim Styleplus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Guggenheim Styleplus in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
27.6828.3929.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
27.5428.2528.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guggenheim Styleplus. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guggenheim Styleplus' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guggenheim Styleplus' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Guggenheim Styleplus.

Guggenheim Styleplus Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guggenheim Styleplus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guggenheim Styleplus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guggenheim Styleplus -, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guggenheim Styleplus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.08
β
Beta against DOW0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Guggenheim Styleplus Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guggenheim Styleplus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guggenheim Styleplus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Guggenheim Styleplus is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund retains about 12.43% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Guggenheim Styleplus Technical Analysis

Guggenheim Styleplus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guggenheim Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guggenheim Styleplus -. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guggenheim Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Guggenheim Styleplus Predictive Forecast Models

Guggenheim Styleplus time-series forecasting models is one of many Guggenheim Styleplus' mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Guggenheim Styleplus' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Guggenheim Styleplus

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guggenheim Styleplus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guggenheim Styleplus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Guggenheim Styleplus Alerts

Guggenheim Styleplus Alerts and Suggestions

Guggenheim Styleplus is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund retains about 12.43% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Please check Guggenheim Styleplus Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Guggenheim Styleplus Correlation, Guggenheim Styleplus Hype Analysis, Guggenheim Styleplus Volatility, Guggenheim Styleplus History as well as Guggenheim Styleplus Performance. Note that the Guggenheim Styleplus information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Guggenheim Styleplus' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

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When running Guggenheim Styleplus price analysis, check to measure Guggenheim Styleplus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guggenheim Styleplus is operating at the current time. Most of Guggenheim Styleplus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guggenheim Styleplus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guggenheim Styleplus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guggenheim Styleplus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Guggenheim Styleplus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Guggenheim Styleplus value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guggenheim Styleplus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.