Nationwide Investor Destinations Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.56
| GIMCX Fund | USD 9.62 0.03 0.31% |
Nationwide |
Nationwide Investor Target Price Odds to finish below 10.56
The tendency of Nationwide Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 10.56 after 90 days |
| 9.62 | 90 days | 10.56 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nationwide Investor to stay under $ 10.56 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Nationwide Investor Destinations probability density function shows the probability of Nationwide Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nationwide Investor price to stay between its current price of $ 9.62 and $ 10.56 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nationwide Investor has a beta of 0.39. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Nationwide Investor average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nationwide Investor Destinations will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nationwide Investor Destinations has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Nationwide Investor Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nationwide Investor
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nationwide Investor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nationwide Investor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nationwide Investor Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nationwide Investor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nationwide Investor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nationwide Investor Destinations, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nationwide Investor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Nationwide Investor Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nationwide Investor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nationwide Investor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nationwide Investor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Nationwide Investor retains about 5.49% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Nationwide Investor Technical Analysis
Nationwide Investor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nationwide Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nationwide Investor Destinations. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nationwide Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nationwide Investor Predictive Forecast Models
Nationwide Investor's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nationwide Investor's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nationwide Investor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nationwide Investor
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nationwide Investor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nationwide Investor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nationwide Investor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Nationwide Investor retains about 5.49% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Check out Nationwide Investor Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Nationwide Investor Correlation, Nationwide Investor Hype Analysis, Nationwide Investor Volatility, Nationwide Investor History as well as Nationwide Investor Performance. Note that the Nationwide Investor information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Nationwide Investor's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.