Gamestop Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 145.0

GME
 Stock
  

USD 26.39  1.21  4.38%   

Gamestop Corp's future price is the expected price of Gamestop Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gamestop Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Gamestop Corp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Gamestop Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Gamestop Corp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Gamestop Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-07 CALL at $26.5 is a CALL option contract on Gamestop Corp's common stock with a strick price of 26.5 expiring on 2022-10-07. The contract was last traded on 2022-10-04 at 15:53:47 for $1.58 and, as of today, has 2 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.43, and an ask price of $1.62. The implied volatility as of the 5th of October is 115.8284. View All Gamestop options

Closest to current price Gamestop long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Gamestop Corp Backtesting, Gamestop Corp Valuation, Gamestop Corp Correlation, Gamestop Corp Hype Analysis, Gamestop Corp Volatility, Gamestop Corp History as well as Gamestop Corp Performance. Please specify Gamestop Corp time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Gamestop Corp odds to be computed.

Gamestop Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 145.0

The tendency of Gamestop Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 145.00  or more in 90 days
 26.39 90 days 145.00 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gamestop Corp to move over $ 145.00  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Gamestop Corp probability density function shows the probability of Gamestop Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gamestop Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 26.39  and $ 145.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.58 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Gamestop Corp has a beta of 0.31. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gamestop Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gamestop Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Gamestop Corp is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Gamestop Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gamestop Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gamestop Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gamestop Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Gamestop Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
21.5426.1030.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
23.7433.0637.62
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
10.0055.75145.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gamestop Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gamestop Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gamestop Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Gamestop Corp.

Gamestop Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gamestop Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gamestop Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gamestop Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gamestop Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.05
β
Beta against DOW0.31
σ
Overall volatility
5.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.0053

Gamestop Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gamestop Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gamestop Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gamestop Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gamestop Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.11 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (472.4 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.35 B.
Gamestop Corp has about 1.03 B in cash with (719.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.42.
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from www.benzinga.com: Check Out What Whales Are Doing With GME - GameStop - Benzinga

Gamestop Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gamestop Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gamestop Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gamestop Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out19.58%
Short Percent Of Float22.28%
Float Shares253.54M
Shares Short Prior Month58.05M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.62M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month7.6M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Gamestop Corp Technical Analysis

Gamestop Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gamestop Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gamestop Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gamestop Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gamestop Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Gamestop Corp time-series forecasting models is one of many Gamestop Corp's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Gamestop Corp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gamestop Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gamestop Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gamestop Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gamestop Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gamestop Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.11 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (472.4 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.35 B.
Gamestop Corp has about 1.03 B in cash with (719.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.42.
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from www.benzinga.com: Check Out What Whales Are Doing With GME - GameStop - Benzinga
Please check Gamestop Corp Backtesting, Gamestop Corp Valuation, Gamestop Corp Correlation, Gamestop Corp Hype Analysis, Gamestop Corp Volatility, Gamestop Corp History as well as Gamestop Corp Performance. You can also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Gamestop Corp price analysis, check to measure Gamestop Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gamestop Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Gamestop Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gamestop Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gamestop Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gamestop Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Go
ETF Directory
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Go
Commodity Channel Index
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Go
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Go
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Go
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Go
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Go
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Go
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Go
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm
Go
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Go
Is Gamestop Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gamestop Corp. If investors know Gamestop will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gamestop Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Gamestop Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gamestop that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gamestop Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gamestop Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gamestop Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gamestop Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gamestop Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Gamestop Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gamestop Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.