Graphite One Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.18
| GPH Stock | CAD 0.76 0.01 1.30% |
Graphite |
Graphite One Target Price Odds to finish below 1.18
The tendency of Graphite Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under C$ 1.18 after 90 days |
| 0.76 | 90 days | 1.18 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Graphite One to stay under C$ 1.18 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Graphite One probability density function shows the probability of Graphite Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Graphite One price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.76 and C$ 1.18 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Graphite One has a beta of 1.0. This usually indicates Graphite One market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Graphite One is expected to follow. Additionally Graphite One has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Graphite One Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Graphite One
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Graphite One. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Graphite One's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Graphite One Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Graphite One is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Graphite One's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Graphite One, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Graphite One within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Graphite One Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Graphite One for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Graphite One can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Graphite One generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Graphite One has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Graphite One has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Graphite One has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (5.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Graphite One has accumulated about 907.44 K in cash with (3.35 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Graphite One Announces Financing - Yahoo News UK |
Graphite One Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Graphite Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Graphite One's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Graphite One's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 93.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 501.7 K |
Graphite One Technical Analysis
Graphite One's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Graphite Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Graphite One. In general, you should focus on analyzing Graphite Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Graphite One Predictive Forecast Models
Graphite One's time-series forecasting models is one of many Graphite One's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Graphite One's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Graphite One
Checking the ongoing alerts about Graphite One for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Graphite One help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Graphite One generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Graphite One has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Graphite One has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Graphite One has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (5.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Graphite One has accumulated about 907.44 K in cash with (3.35 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Graphite One Announces Financing - Yahoo News UK |
Check out Graphite One Backtesting, Graphite One Valuation, Graphite One Correlation, Graphite One Hype Analysis, Graphite One Volatility, Graphite One History as well as Graphite One Performance. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Complementary Tools for Graphite Stock analysis
When running Graphite One's price analysis, check to measure Graphite One's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Graphite One is operating at the current time. Most of Graphite One's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Graphite One's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Graphite One's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Graphite One to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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