Guru Organic Energy Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.83

GUROF Stock  USD 1.83  0.10  5.78%   
GURU Organic's future price is the expected price of GURU Organic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GURU Organic Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GURU Organic Backtesting, GURU Organic Valuation, GURU Organic Correlation, GURU Organic Hype Analysis, GURU Organic Volatility, GURU Organic History as well as GURU Organic Performance.
  
Please specify GURU Organic's target price for which you would like GURU Organic odds to be computed.

GURU Organic Target Price Odds to finish over 1.83

The tendency of GURU Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.83 90 days 1.83 
about 20.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GURU Organic to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 20.5 (This GURU Organic Energy probability density function shows the probability of GURU Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon GURU Organic has a beta of 0.15. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GURU Organic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GURU Organic Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GURU Organic Energy has an alpha of 0.0831, implying that it can generate a 0.0831 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GURU Organic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GURU Organic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GURU Organic Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GURU Organic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.833.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.533.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.743.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.691.791.88
Details

GURU Organic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GURU Organic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GURU Organic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GURU Organic Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GURU Organic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

GURU Organic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GURU Organic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GURU Organic Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GURU Organic Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GURU Organic Energy may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 29.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.69 M.
GURU Organic Energy has accumulated about 48.01 M in cash with (18.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.49.
Roughly 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

GURU Organic Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GURU Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GURU Organic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GURU Organic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.2 M

GURU Organic Technical Analysis

GURU Organic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GURU Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GURU Organic Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing GURU Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GURU Organic Predictive Forecast Models

GURU Organic's time-series forecasting models is one of many GURU Organic's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GURU Organic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GURU Organic Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about GURU Organic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GURU Organic Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GURU Organic Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GURU Organic Energy may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 29.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.69 M.
GURU Organic Energy has accumulated about 48.01 M in cash with (18.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.49.
Roughly 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in GURU Pink Sheet

GURU Organic financial ratios help investors to determine whether GURU Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GURU with respect to the benefits of owning GURU Organic security.