Hca Holdings Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 259.52
| HCA Etf | USD 322.63 0.19 0.06% |
Closest to current price HCA long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
HCA |
HCA Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 259.52
The tendency of HCA Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 259.52 or more in 90 days |
| 322.63 | 90 days | 259.52 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HCA Holdings to drop to $ 259.52 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This HCA Holdings probability density function shows the probability of HCA Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HCA Holdings price to stay between $ 259.52 and its current price of $322.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.66 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon HCA Holdings has a beta of 0.92. This usually indicates HCA Holdings market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, HCA Holdings is expected to follow. Additionally HCA Holdings has an alpha of 0.1537, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). HCA Holdings Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for HCA Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HCA Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HCA Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
HCA Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HCA Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HCA Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HCA Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HCA Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.92 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 16.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
HCA Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HCA Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HCA Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: HCA Healthcares TriStar Division announces plans to build hospital | |
| The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
HCA Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HCA Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HCA Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HCA Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 276.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
HCA Holdings Technical Analysis
HCA Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HCA Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HCA Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing HCA Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HCA Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
HCA Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many HCA Holdings' etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HCA Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about HCA Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about HCA Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HCA Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: HCA Healthcares TriStar Division announces plans to build hospital | |
| The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Check out HCA Holdings Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, HCA Holdings Correlation, HCA Holdings Hype Analysis, HCA Holdings Volatility, HCA Holdings History as well as HCA Holdings Performance. For information on how to trade HCA Etf refer to our How to Trade HCA Etf guide.Note that the HCA Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other HCA Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
The market value of HCA Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of HCA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of HCA Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is HCA Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because HCA Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect HCA Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between HCA Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HCA Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HCA Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.