Proshares Hedge Replication Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 48.88

HDG Etf  USD 48.88  0.05  0.10%   
ProShares Hedge's future price is the expected price of ProShares Hedge instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ProShares Hedge Replication performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ProShares Hedge Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ProShares Hedge Correlation, ProShares Hedge Hype Analysis, ProShares Hedge Volatility, ProShares Hedge History as well as ProShares Hedge Performance.
  
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ProShares Hedge Target Price Odds to finish over 48.88

The tendency of ProShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 48.88 90 days 48.88 
nearly 4.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ProShares Hedge to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.08 (This ProShares Hedge Replication probability density function shows the probability of ProShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares Hedge has a beta of 0.47. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, ProShares Hedge average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ProShares Hedge Replication will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. ProShares Hedge Repl is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   ProShares Hedge Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ProShares Hedge

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ProShares Hedge Repl. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of ProShares Hedge's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of ProShares Hedge in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
48.4348.8849.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.3048.7549.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
48.3348.7849.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
48.1648.6249.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ProShares Hedge. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ProShares Hedge's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ProShares Hedge's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ProShares Hedge Repl.

ProShares Hedge Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ProShares Hedge is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ProShares Hedge's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ProShares Hedge Replication, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ProShares Hedge within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.47
σ
Overall volatility
0.31
Ir
Information ratio -0.3

ProShares Hedge Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ProShares Hedge for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ProShares Hedge Repl can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

ProShares Hedge Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ProShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ProShares Hedge's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ProShares Hedge's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

ProShares Hedge Technical Analysis

ProShares Hedge's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ProShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ProShares Hedge Replication. In general, you should focus on analyzing ProShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ProShares Hedge Predictive Forecast Models

ProShares Hedge's time-series forecasting models is one of many ProShares Hedge's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ProShares Hedge's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ProShares Hedge Repl

Checking the ongoing alerts about ProShares Hedge for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ProShares Hedge Repl help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
When determining whether ProShares Hedge Repl is a strong investment it is important to analyze ProShares Hedge's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ProShares Hedge's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ProShares Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out ProShares Hedge Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ProShares Hedge Correlation, ProShares Hedge Hype Analysis, ProShares Hedge Volatility, ProShares Hedge History as well as ProShares Hedge Performance.
Note that the ProShares Hedge Repl information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ProShares Hedge's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for ProShares Etf analysis

When running ProShares Hedge's price analysis, check to measure ProShares Hedge's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ProShares Hedge is operating at the current time. Most of ProShares Hedge's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ProShares Hedge's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ProShares Hedge's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ProShares Hedge to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of ProShares Hedge Repl is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ProShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ProShares Hedge's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ProShares Hedge's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ProShares Hedge's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ProShares Hedge's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares Hedge's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares Hedge is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ProShares Hedge's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.