Highland Longshort Healthcare Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.98
| HHCAX Fund | USD 15.13 0.01 0.07% |
Highland |
Highland Long/short Target Price Odds to finish over 13.98
The tendency of Highland Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 13.98 in 90 days |
| 15.13 | 90 days | 13.98 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Highland Long/short to stay above $ 13.98 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Highland Longshort Healthcare probability density function shows the probability of Highland Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Highland Long/short price to stay between $ 13.98 and its current price of $15.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.12 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Highland Long/short has a beta of 0.13. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Highland Long/short average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Highland Longshort Healthcare will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Highland Longshort Healthcare has an alpha of 0.0342, implying that it can generate a 0.0342 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Highland Long/short Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Highland Long/short
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Highland Long/short. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Highland Long/short's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Highland Long/short Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Highland Long/short is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Highland Long/short's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Highland Longshort Healthcare, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Highland Long/short within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Highland Long/short Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Highland Long/short for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Highland Long/short can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -6.0% | |
| Highland Long/short retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Highland Long/short Technical Analysis
Highland Long/short's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Highland Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Highland Longshort Healthcare. In general, you should focus on analyzing Highland Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Highland Long/short Predictive Forecast Models
Highland Long/short's time-series forecasting models is one of many Highland Long/short's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Highland Long/short's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Highland Long/short
Checking the ongoing alerts about Highland Long/short for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Highland Long/short help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -6.0% | |
| Highland Long/short retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Highland Long/short Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Highland Long/short Correlation, Highland Long/short Hype Analysis, Highland Long/short Volatility, Highland Long/short History as well as Highland Long/short Performance. Note that the Highland Long/short information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Highland Long/short's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.