Hammer OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.041

HMRRF
 Stock
  

USD 0.041  0.00  0.00%   

Hammer Metal's future price is the expected price of Hammer Metal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hammer Metal performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Risk vs Return Analysis.Please specify Hammer Metal time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Hammer Metal odds to be computed.

Hammer Metal Target Price Odds to finish over 0.041

The tendency of Hammer OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.041 90 days 0.041 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hammer Metal to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Hammer Metal probability density function shows the probability of Hammer OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hammer Metal has a beta of 0.45. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hammer Metal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hammer Metal will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Hammer Metal is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Hammer Metal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hammer Metal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hammer Metal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hammer Metal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hammer Metal in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.040.040.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.040.040320.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0429870.0429870.042987
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.050.060.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hammer Metal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hammer Metal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hammer Metal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Hammer Metal.

Hammer Metal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hammer Metal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hammer Metal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hammer Metal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hammer Metal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.42
β
Beta against DOW0.45
σ
Overall volatility
0.002794
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Hammer Metal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hammer Metal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hammer Metal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hammer Metal is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Hammer Metal has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 214.86 K. Net Loss for the year was (645.27 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 214.86 K.
Hammer Metal has accumulated about 5.19 M in cash with (1000 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Hammer Metal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hammer OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hammer Metal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hammer Metal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares497.06M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day50
Average Daily Volume In Three Month4

Hammer Metal Technical Analysis

Hammer Metal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hammer OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hammer Metal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hammer OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hammer Metal Predictive Forecast Models

Hammer Metal time-series forecasting models is one of many Hammer Metal's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Hammer Metal's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hammer Metal

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hammer Metal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hammer Metal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hammer Metal is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Hammer Metal has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 214.86 K. Net Loss for the year was (645.27 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 214.86 K.
Hammer Metal has accumulated about 5.19 M in cash with (1000 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Please check Risk vs Return Analysis. You can also try Probability Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Hammer Metal price analysis, check to measure Hammer Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hammer Metal is operating at the current time. Most of Hammer Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hammer Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hammer Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hammer Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hammer Metal's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hammer Metal. If investors know Hammer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hammer Metal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hammer Metal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hammer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hammer Metal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hammer Metal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hammer Metal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hammer Metal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hammer Metal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hammer Metal value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hammer Metal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.