Holbrook Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.7
HOBAX Fund | USD 9.57 0.01 0.10% |
Holbrook |
Holbrook Income Target Price Odds to finish over 9.7
The tendency of Holbrook Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 9.70 or more in 90 days |
9.57 | 90 days | 9.70 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Holbrook Income to move over $ 9.70 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Holbrook Income probability density function shows the probability of Holbrook Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Holbrook Income price to stay between its current price of $ 9.57 and $ 9.70 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.64 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Holbrook Income has a beta of -0.0056. This usually indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Holbrook Income are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Holbrook Income is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Holbrook Income has an alpha of 0.0052, implying that it can generate a 0.005239 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Holbrook Income Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Holbrook Income
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Holbrook Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Holbrook Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Holbrook Income Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Holbrook Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Holbrook Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Holbrook Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Holbrook Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.0056 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.56 |
Holbrook Income Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Holbrook Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Holbrook Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.The fund retains about 8.23% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Holbrook Income Technical Analysis
Holbrook Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Holbrook Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Holbrook Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Holbrook Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Holbrook Income Predictive Forecast Models
Holbrook Income's time-series forecasting models is one of many Holbrook Income's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Holbrook Income's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Holbrook Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about Holbrook Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Holbrook Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 8.23% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Check out Holbrook Income Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Holbrook Income Correlation, Holbrook Income Hype Analysis, Holbrook Income Volatility, Holbrook Income History as well as Holbrook Income Performance. Note that the Holbrook Income information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Holbrook Income's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Complementary Tools for Holbrook Mutual Fund analysis
When running Holbrook Income's price analysis, check to measure Holbrook Income's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Holbrook Income is operating at the current time. Most of Holbrook Income's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Holbrook Income's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Holbrook Income's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Holbrook Income to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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