Robinhood Markets Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.4

HOOD Stock  USD 20.01  0.73  3.79%   
Robinhood Markets' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Robinhood Markets. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Robinhood Markets based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Robinhood Markets over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $20.0 is a CALL option contract on Robinhood Markets' common stock with a strick price of 20.0 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:57:57 for $0.3 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.3, and an ask price of $0.32. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 70.79. View All Robinhood options

Closest to current price Robinhood long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Robinhood Markets' future price is the expected price of Robinhood Markets instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Robinhood Markets performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Robinhood Markets Backtesting, Robinhood Markets Valuation, Robinhood Markets Correlation, Robinhood Markets Hype Analysis, Robinhood Markets Volatility, Robinhood Markets History as well as Robinhood Markets Performance.
For information on how to trade Robinhood Stock refer to our How to Trade Robinhood Stock guide.
  
At present, Robinhood Markets' Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 21.45, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is forecasted to decline to 1.60. Please specify Robinhood Markets' target price for which you would like Robinhood Markets odds to be computed.

Robinhood Markets Target Price Odds to finish over 8.4

The tendency of Robinhood Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 8.40  in 90 days
 20.01 90 days 8.40 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Robinhood Markets to stay above $ 8.40  in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Robinhood Markets probability density function shows the probability of Robinhood Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Robinhood Markets price to stay between $ 8.40  and its current price of $20.01 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.58 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.32 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Robinhood Markets will likely underperform. Additionally Robinhood Markets has an alpha of 0.4248, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Robinhood Markets Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Robinhood Markets

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Robinhood Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Robinhood Markets' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.6420.1023.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1417.6021.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.4020.8624.33
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.0912.1913.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Robinhood Markets. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Robinhood Markets' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Robinhood Markets' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Robinhood Markets.

Robinhood Markets Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Robinhood Markets is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Robinhood Markets' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Robinhood Markets, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Robinhood Markets within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.42
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.32
σ
Overall volatility
2.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Robinhood Markets Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Robinhood Markets for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Robinhood Markets can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Robinhood Markets appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Robinhood Markets has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.86 B. Net Loss for the year was (541 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 906 M.
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: This Is Massive News for Robinhood Stock

Robinhood Markets Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Robinhood Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Robinhood Markets' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Robinhood Markets' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding890.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.5 B

Robinhood Markets Technical Analysis

Robinhood Markets' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Robinhood Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Robinhood Markets. In general, you should focus on analyzing Robinhood Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Robinhood Markets Predictive Forecast Models

Robinhood Markets' time-series forecasting models is one of many Robinhood Markets' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Robinhood Markets' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Robinhood Markets

Checking the ongoing alerts about Robinhood Markets for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Robinhood Markets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Robinhood Markets appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Robinhood Markets has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.86 B. Net Loss for the year was (541 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 906 M.
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: This Is Massive News for Robinhood Stock
When determining whether Robinhood Markets is a strong investment it is important to analyze Robinhood Markets' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Robinhood Markets' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Robinhood Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Complementary Tools for Robinhood Stock analysis

When running Robinhood Markets' price analysis, check to measure Robinhood Markets' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Robinhood Markets is operating at the current time. Most of Robinhood Markets' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Robinhood Markets' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Robinhood Markets' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Robinhood Markets to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Robinhood Markets' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Robinhood Markets. If investors know Robinhood will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Robinhood Markets listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.61)
Revenue Per Share
2.093
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.239
Return On Assets
(0.02)
Return On Equity
(0.08)
The market value of Robinhood Markets is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Robinhood that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Robinhood Markets' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Robinhood Markets' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Robinhood Markets' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Robinhood Markets' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Robinhood Markets' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Robinhood Markets is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Robinhood Markets' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.