hopTo Inc Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 5.45

HPTODelisted Stock  USD 0.36  0.00  0.00%   
HopTo's future price is the expected price of HopTo instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of hopTo Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
  
Please specify HopTo's target price for which you would like HopTo odds to be computed.

HopTo Target Price Odds to finish over 5.45

The tendency of HopTo Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 5.45  or more in 90 days
 0.36 90 days 5.45 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HopTo to move over $ 5.45  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This hopTo Inc probability density function shows the probability of HopTo Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of hopTo Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 0.36  and $ 5.45  at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.4 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.46 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, HopTo will likely underperform. Additionally HopTo Inc has an alpha of 0.0435, implying that it can generate a 0.0435 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   HopTo Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HopTo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as hopTo Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HopTo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.365.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.305.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.425.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.300.360.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HopTo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HopTo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HopTo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in hopTo Inc.

HopTo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HopTo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HopTo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold hopTo Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HopTo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.04
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

HopTo Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HopTo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for hopTo Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
hopTo Inc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
hopTo Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
hopTo Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
hopTo Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
hopTo Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

HopTo Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HopTo Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HopTo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HopTo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.2 M

HopTo Technical Analysis

HopTo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HopTo Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of hopTo Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing HopTo Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HopTo Predictive Forecast Models

HopTo's time-series forecasting models is one of many HopTo's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HopTo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about hopTo Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about HopTo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for hopTo Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
hopTo Inc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
hopTo Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
hopTo Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
hopTo Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
hopTo Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

Other Consideration for investing in HopTo Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in hopTo Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the HopTo's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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