Healthcare Realty Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.81

HR Stock  USD 17.81  0.18  1.02%   
Healthcare Realty's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Healthcare Realty Trust. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Healthcare Realty based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Healthcare Realty Trust over a specific time period. For example, 2024-08-16 CALL at $17.5 is a CALL option contract on Healthcare Realty's common stock with a strick price of 17.5 expiring on 2024-08-16. The contract was last traded on 2024-07-22 at 13:26:13 for $0.5 and, as of today, has 24 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.4, and an ask price of $0.55. The implied volatility as of the 23rd of July is 24.58. View All Healthcare options

Closest to current price Healthcare long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Healthcare Realty's future price is the expected price of Healthcare Realty instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Healthcare Realty Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Healthcare Realty Backtesting, Healthcare Realty Valuation, Healthcare Realty Correlation, Healthcare Realty Hype Analysis, Healthcare Realty Volatility, Healthcare Realty History as well as Healthcare Realty Performance.
  
At this time, Healthcare Realty's Price To Sales Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 07/23/2024, Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to 1.30, though Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (0.29). Please specify Healthcare Realty's target price for which you would like Healthcare Realty odds to be computed.

Healthcare Realty Target Price Odds to finish over 17.81

The tendency of Healthcare Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.81 90 days 17.81 
about 5.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Healthcare Realty to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.52 (This Healthcare Realty Trust probability density function shows the probability of Healthcare Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Healthcare Realty has a beta of 0.57. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Healthcare Realty average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Healthcare Realty Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Healthcare Realty Trust has an alpha of 0.3551, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Healthcare Realty Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Healthcare Realty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Healthcare Realty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Healthcare Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.3117.6318.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1015.4219.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.3117.6318.95
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.9018.5720.61
Details

Healthcare Realty Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Healthcare Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Healthcare Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Healthcare Realty Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Healthcare Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
1.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.24

Healthcare Realty Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Healthcare Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Healthcare Realty Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Healthcare Realty Trust reports 5.3 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.02, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Healthcare Realty Trust has a current ratio of 0.38, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Healthcare to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity generated the yearly revenue of 1.34 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (281.62 M) with gross profit of 584.16 M.
Over 99.0% of Healthcare Realty shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Is Invesco KBW Premium Yield Equity REIT ETF a Strong ETF Right Now

Healthcare Realty Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Healthcare Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Healthcare Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Healthcare Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding383.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments25.7 M

Healthcare Realty Technical Analysis

Healthcare Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Healthcare Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Healthcare Realty Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Healthcare Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Healthcare Realty Predictive Forecast Models

Healthcare Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Healthcare Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Healthcare Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Healthcare Realty Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about Healthcare Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Healthcare Realty Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Healthcare Realty Trust reports 5.3 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.02, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Healthcare Realty Trust has a current ratio of 0.38, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Healthcare to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity generated the yearly revenue of 1.34 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (281.62 M) with gross profit of 584.16 M.
Over 99.0% of Healthcare Realty shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Is Invesco KBW Premium Yield Equity REIT ETF a Strong ETF Right Now

Additional Tools for Healthcare Stock Analysis

When running Healthcare Realty's price analysis, check to measure Healthcare Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Healthcare Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Healthcare Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Healthcare Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Healthcare Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Healthcare Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.