Healthcare Realty Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.0
| HR Stock | USD 15.27 0.14 0.93% |
Closest to current price Healthcare long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Healthcare |
Healthcare Realty Target Price Odds to finish over 24.0
The tendency of Healthcare Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 24.00 or more in 90 days |
| 15.27 | 90 days | 24.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Healthcare Realty to move over $ 24.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Healthcare Realty Trust probability density function shows the probability of Healthcare Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Healthcare Realty Trust price to stay between its current price of $ 15.27 and $ 24.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.22 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.65 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Healthcare Realty will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Healthcare Realty Trust is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite. Healthcare Realty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Healthcare Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Healthcare Realty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Healthcare Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Healthcare Realty in the context of predictive analytics.
Healthcare Realty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Healthcare Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Healthcare Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Healthcare Realty Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Healthcare Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Healthcare Realty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Healthcare Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Healthcare Realty Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Healthcare Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reports 5.7 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.02, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Healthcare Realty Trust has a current ratio of 0.38, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Healthcare Realty until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Healthcare Realty's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Healthcare Realty Trust sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Healthcare to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Healthcare Realty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Healthcare Realty has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of Healthcare Realty shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 30th of November 2023 Healthcare Realty paid $ 0.31 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: NorthWest Healthcare Properties Real Estate Investment Trust - Marketscreener.com |
Healthcare Realty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Healthcare Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Healthcare Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Healthcare Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 253.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 61 M |
Healthcare Realty Technical Analysis
Healthcare Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Healthcare Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Healthcare Realty Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Healthcare Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
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Healthcare Realty Predictive Forecast Models
Healthcare Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Healthcare Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Healthcare Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Healthcare Realty Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Healthcare Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Healthcare Realty Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Healthcare Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reports 5.7 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.02, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Healthcare Realty Trust has a current ratio of 0.38, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Healthcare Realty until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Healthcare Realty's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Healthcare Realty Trust sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Healthcare to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Healthcare Realty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Healthcare Realty has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of Healthcare Realty shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 30th of November 2023 Healthcare Realty paid $ 0.31 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: NorthWest Healthcare Properties Real Estate Investment Trust - Marketscreener.com |
Check out Healthcare Realty Backtesting, Healthcare Realty Valuation, Healthcare Realty Correlation, Healthcare Realty Hype Analysis, Healthcare Realty Volatility, Healthcare Realty History as well as Healthcare Realty Performance. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Complementary Tools for Healthcare Stock analysis
When running Healthcare Realty's price analysis, check to measure Healthcare Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Healthcare Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Healthcare Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Healthcare Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Healthcare Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Healthcare Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Healthcare Realty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Healthcare Realty. If investors know Healthcare will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Healthcare Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.77) | Dividend Share 1.24 | Earnings Share (0.84) | Revenue Per Share 3.558 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.116 |
The market value of Healthcare Realty Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Healthcare that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Healthcare Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Healthcare Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Healthcare Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Healthcare Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Healthcare Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Healthcare Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Healthcare Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.