Hostelworld Group (Ireland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.864

HSW Stock  EUR 1.90  0.04  2.15%   
Hostelworld Group's future price is the expected price of Hostelworld Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hostelworld Group PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hostelworld Group Backtesting, Hostelworld Group Valuation, Hostelworld Group Correlation, Hostelworld Group Hype Analysis, Hostelworld Group Volatility, Hostelworld Group History as well as Hostelworld Group Performance.
  
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Hostelworld Group Target Price Odds to finish over 0.864

The tendency of Hostelworld Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 0.86  in 90 days
 1.90 90 days 0.86 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hostelworld Group to stay above € 0.86  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Hostelworld Group PLC probability density function shows the probability of Hostelworld Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hostelworld Group PLC price to stay between € 0.86  and its current price of €1.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hostelworld Group PLC has a beta of -0.14. This usually indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Hostelworld Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Hostelworld Group PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hostelworld Group PLC has an alpha of 0.4275, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hostelworld Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hostelworld Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hostelworld Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hostelworld Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.904.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.524.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.944.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.851.891.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hostelworld Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hostelworld Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hostelworld Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hostelworld Group PLC.

Hostelworld Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hostelworld Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hostelworld Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hostelworld Group PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hostelworld Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.43
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Hostelworld Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hostelworld Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hostelworld Group PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hostelworld Group may become a speculative penny stock
The company has accumulated 28.21 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.06, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Hostelworld Group PLC has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hostelworld Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hostelworld Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hostelworld Group PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hostelworld to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hostelworld Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 16.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (36.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.35 M.
Hostelworld Group PLC has accumulated about 18.19 M in cash with (13.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16.
Roughly 74.0% of Hostelworld Group shares are owned by institutional investors

Hostelworld Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hostelworld Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hostelworld Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hostelworld Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding106.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments24.5 M

Hostelworld Group Technical Analysis

Hostelworld Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hostelworld Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hostelworld Group PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hostelworld Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hostelworld Group Predictive Forecast Models

Hostelworld Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hostelworld Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hostelworld Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hostelworld Group PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hostelworld Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hostelworld Group PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hostelworld Group may become a speculative penny stock
The company has accumulated 28.21 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.06, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Hostelworld Group PLC has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hostelworld Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hostelworld Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hostelworld Group PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hostelworld to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hostelworld Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 16.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (36.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.35 M.
Hostelworld Group PLC has accumulated about 18.19 M in cash with (13.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16.
Roughly 74.0% of Hostelworld Group shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Hostelworld Group Backtesting, Hostelworld Group Valuation, Hostelworld Group Correlation, Hostelworld Group Hype Analysis, Hostelworld Group Volatility, Hostelworld Group History as well as Hostelworld Group Performance.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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When running Hostelworld Group's price analysis, check to measure Hostelworld Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hostelworld Group is operating at the current time. Most of Hostelworld Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hostelworld Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hostelworld Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hostelworld Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Hostelworld Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hostelworld Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hostelworld Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.