Iclick Interactive Asia Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.45
| ICLK Stock | USD 2.45 0.44 15.22% |
Closest to current price IClick long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
IClick |
IClick Interactive Target Price Odds to finish over 2.45
The tendency of IClick Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.45 | 90 days | 2.45 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IClick Interactive to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This iClick Interactive Asia probability density function shows the probability of IClick Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days iClick Interactive Asia has a beta of -0.17. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding IClick Interactive are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, iClick Interactive Asia is likely to outperform the market. Additionally IClick Interactive Asia has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. IClick Interactive Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for IClick Interactive
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iClick Interactive Asia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IClick Interactive's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
IClick Interactive Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IClick Interactive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IClick Interactive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold iClick Interactive Asia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IClick Interactive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.39 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
IClick Interactive Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IClick Interactive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for iClick Interactive Asia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| IClick Interactive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| IClick Interactive has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| IClick Interactive has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 169.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (202.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 89.15 M. | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: iClick Interactive Asia Group Limited Could Be Riskier Than It Looks |
IClick Interactive Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IClick Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IClick Interactive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IClick Interactive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 89.8 M |
IClick Interactive Technical Analysis
IClick Interactive's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IClick Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of iClick Interactive Asia. In general, you should focus on analyzing IClick Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IClick Interactive Predictive Forecast Models
IClick Interactive's time-series forecasting models is one of many IClick Interactive's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IClick Interactive's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about iClick Interactive Asia
Checking the ongoing alerts about IClick Interactive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for iClick Interactive Asia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| IClick Interactive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| IClick Interactive has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| IClick Interactive has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 169.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (202.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 89.15 M. | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: iClick Interactive Asia Group Limited Could Be Riskier Than It Looks |
Check out IClick Interactive Backtesting, IClick Interactive Valuation, IClick Interactive Correlation, IClick Interactive Hype Analysis, IClick Interactive Volatility, IClick Interactive History as well as IClick Interactive Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
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When running IClick Interactive's price analysis, check to measure IClick Interactive's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IClick Interactive is operating at the current time. Most of IClick Interactive's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IClick Interactive's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IClick Interactive's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IClick Interactive to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is IClick Interactive's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of IClick Interactive. If investors know IClick will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about IClick Interactive listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.591 | Earnings Share (17.32) | Revenue Per Share 14.807 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) | Return On Assets (0.13) |
The market value of iClick Interactive Asia is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IClick that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IClick Interactive's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IClick Interactive's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IClick Interactive's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IClick Interactive's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IClick Interactive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IClick Interactive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IClick Interactive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.