VODAFONE IDEA (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.4

IDEA -  India Stock  

INR 10.60  0.20  1.85%

VODAFONE IDEA's future price is the expected price of VODAFONE IDEA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VODAFONE IDEA LTD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

VODAFONE Price Probability 

 
Refresh
Please see VODAFONE IDEA Backtesting, VODAFONE IDEA Valuation, VODAFONE IDEA Correlation, VODAFONE IDEA Hype Analysis, VODAFONE IDEA Volatility, VODAFONE IDEA History as well as VODAFONE IDEA Performance. Please specify VODAFONE IDEA time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like VODAFONE IDEA odds to be computed.
Apply Odds

VODAFONE IDEA Target Price Odds to finish over 10.4

The tendency of VODAFONE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  10.40  in 90 days
 10.60 90 days 10.40  about 17.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VODAFONE IDEA to stay above  10.40  in 90 days from now is about 17.84 (This VODAFONE IDEA LTD probability density function shows the probability of VODAFONE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VODAFONE IDEA LTD price to stay between  10.40  and its current price of 10.6 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.14 . This usually indicates VODAFONE IDEA LTD market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, VODAFONE IDEA is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.4169, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 VODAFONE IDEA Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for VODAFONE IDEA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VODAFONE IDEA LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of VODAFONE IDEA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of VODAFONE IDEA in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
3.6410.6017.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.208.1615.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VODAFONE IDEA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VODAFONE IDEA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VODAFONE IDEA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in VODAFONE IDEA LTD.

VODAFONE IDEA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VODAFONE IDEA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VODAFONE IDEA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VODAFONE IDEA LTD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VODAFONE IDEA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.42
β
Beta against DOW1.14
σ
Overall volatility
1.91
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

VODAFONE IDEA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VODAFONE IDEA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VODAFONE IDEA LTD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VODAFONE IDEA LTD is way too risky over 90 days horizon
VODAFONE IDEA LTD appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company has accumulated 150.32 B in total debt. VODAFONE IDEA LTD has a current ratio of 0.21, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
The entity reported the revenue of 419.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (442.33 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 183.36 B.
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

VODAFONE IDEA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VODAFONE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VODAFONE IDEA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VODAFONE IDEA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.60
Float Shares7.84B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day468.73M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month352.52M
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield5.56%

VODAFONE IDEA Technical Analysis

VODAFONE IDEA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VODAFONE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VODAFONE IDEA LTD. In general, you should focus on analyzing VODAFONE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VODAFONE IDEA Predictive Forecast Models

VODAFONE IDEA time-series forecasting models is one of many VODAFONE IDEA's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary VODAFONE IDEA's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VODAFONE IDEA LTD

Checking the ongoing alerts about VODAFONE IDEA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VODAFONE IDEA LTD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

VODAFONE IDEA Alerts

VODAFONE IDEA Alerts and Suggestions

VODAFONE IDEA LTD is way too risky over 90 days horizon
VODAFONE IDEA LTD appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company has accumulated 150.32 B in total debt. VODAFONE IDEA LTD has a current ratio of 0.21, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
The entity reported the revenue of 419.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (442.33 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 183.36 B.
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Please see VODAFONE IDEA Backtesting, VODAFONE IDEA Valuation, VODAFONE IDEA Correlation, VODAFONE IDEA Hype Analysis, VODAFONE IDEA Volatility, VODAFONE IDEA History as well as VODAFONE IDEA Performance. Note that the VODAFONE IDEA LTD information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other VODAFONE IDEA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Search module to search for activelly traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

Other Tools for VODAFONE Stock

When running VODAFONE IDEA LTD price analysis, check to measure VODAFONE IDEA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VODAFONE IDEA is operating at the current time. Most of VODAFONE IDEA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VODAFONE IDEA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VODAFONE IDEA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VODAFONE IDEA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Go
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Go
Bond Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Go
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Go
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Go
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Go
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Go
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm
Go
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Go
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Go
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Go