Intellicheck Mobilisa Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.66

IDN Stock  USD 3.53  0.04  1.15%   
Intellicheck Mobilisa's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Intellicheck Mobilisa. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Intellicheck Mobilisa based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Intellicheck Mobilisa over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $4.0 is a CALL option contract on Intellicheck Mobilisa's common stock with a strick price of 4.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 14:53:56 for $0.25 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.15, and an ask price of $0.3. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 120.5. View All Intellicheck options

Closest to current price Intellicheck long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Intellicheck Mobilisa's future price is the expected price of Intellicheck Mobilisa instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Intellicheck Mobilisa performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Intellicheck Mobilisa Backtesting, Intellicheck Mobilisa Valuation, Intellicheck Mobilisa Correlation, Intellicheck Mobilisa Hype Analysis, Intellicheck Mobilisa Volatility, Intellicheck Mobilisa History as well as Intellicheck Mobilisa Performance.
To learn how to invest in Intellicheck Stock, please use our How to Invest in Intellicheck Mobilisa guide.
  
As of the 28th of March 2024, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 0.39, while Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop (19.39). Please specify Intellicheck Mobilisa's target price for which you would like Intellicheck Mobilisa odds to be computed.

Intellicheck Mobilisa Target Price Odds to finish over 8.66

The tendency of Intellicheck Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 8.66  or more in 90 days
 3.53 90 days 8.66 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intellicheck Mobilisa to move over $ 8.66  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Intellicheck Mobilisa probability density function shows the probability of Intellicheck Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Intellicheck Mobilisa price to stay between its current price of $ 3.53  and $ 8.66  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Intellicheck Mobilisa has a beta of -2.39. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Intellicheck Mobilisa are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Intellicheck Mobilisa is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Intellicheck Mobilisa has an alpha of 1.5738, implying that it can generate a 1.57 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Intellicheck Mobilisa Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Intellicheck Mobilisa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intellicheck Mobilisa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intellicheck Mobilisa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.183.5314.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.6613.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.094.3014.78
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.104.505.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Intellicheck Mobilisa. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Intellicheck Mobilisa's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Intellicheck Mobilisa's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Intellicheck Mobilisa.

Intellicheck Mobilisa Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intellicheck Mobilisa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intellicheck Mobilisa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intellicheck Mobilisa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intellicheck Mobilisa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
1.57
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-2.39
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Intellicheck Mobilisa Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intellicheck Mobilisa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intellicheck Mobilisa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intellicheck Mobilisa is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Intellicheck Mobilisa appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Intellicheck Mobilisa has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 18.91 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.98 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 14.69 M.
Intellicheck Mobilisa has about 11.96 M in cash with (647 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.63.
Latest headline from pymnts.com: Intellicheck CEO Digital Bankings Future Will Be Defined by Security

Intellicheck Mobilisa Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intellicheck Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intellicheck Mobilisa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intellicheck Mobilisa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.2 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Intellicheck Mobilisa Technical Analysis

Intellicheck Mobilisa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intellicheck Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intellicheck Mobilisa. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intellicheck Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Intellicheck Mobilisa Predictive Forecast Models

Intellicheck Mobilisa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intellicheck Mobilisa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intellicheck Mobilisa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Intellicheck Mobilisa

Checking the ongoing alerts about Intellicheck Mobilisa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intellicheck Mobilisa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intellicheck Mobilisa is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Intellicheck Mobilisa appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Intellicheck Mobilisa has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 18.91 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.98 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 14.69 M.
Intellicheck Mobilisa has about 11.96 M in cash with (647 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.63.
Latest headline from pymnts.com: Intellicheck CEO Digital Bankings Future Will Be Defined by Security
When determining whether Intellicheck Mobilisa offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Intellicheck Mobilisa's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Intellicheck Mobilisa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Intellicheck Mobilisa Stock:
Check out Intellicheck Mobilisa Backtesting, Intellicheck Mobilisa Valuation, Intellicheck Mobilisa Correlation, Intellicheck Mobilisa Hype Analysis, Intellicheck Mobilisa Volatility, Intellicheck Mobilisa History as well as Intellicheck Mobilisa Performance.
To learn how to invest in Intellicheck Stock, please use our How to Invest in Intellicheck Mobilisa guide.
Note that the Intellicheck Mobilisa information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Intellicheck Mobilisa's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

Complementary Tools for Intellicheck Stock analysis

When running Intellicheck Mobilisa's price analysis, check to measure Intellicheck Mobilisa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intellicheck Mobilisa is operating at the current time. Most of Intellicheck Mobilisa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intellicheck Mobilisa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intellicheck Mobilisa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intellicheck Mobilisa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Earnings Calls
Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Is Intellicheck Mobilisa's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intellicheck Mobilisa. If investors know Intellicheck will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intellicheck Mobilisa listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
7.622
Earnings Share
(0.17)
Revenue Per Share
0.982
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.137
Return On Assets
(0.06)
The market value of Intellicheck Mobilisa is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intellicheck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intellicheck Mobilisa's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intellicheck Mobilisa's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intellicheck Mobilisa's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intellicheck Mobilisa's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intellicheck Mobilisa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intellicheck Mobilisa is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intellicheck Mobilisa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.