Ishares Asia Trust Etf Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.52

IFXAF Etf  USD 1.52  0.00  0.00%   
IShares Asia's future price is the expected price of IShares Asia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of iShares Asia Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IShares Asia Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, IShares Asia Correlation, IShares Asia Hype Analysis, IShares Asia Volatility, IShares Asia History as well as IShares Asia Performance.
  
Please specify IShares Asia's target price for which you would like IShares Asia odds to be computed.

IShares Asia Target Price Odds to finish over 1.52

The tendency of IShares Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.52 90 days 1.52 
about 50.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IShares Asia to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This iShares Asia Trust probability density function shows the probability of IShares Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon IShares Asia has a beta of 0.0077. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, IShares Asia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding iShares Asia Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally IShares Asia Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   IShares Asia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IShares Asia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iShares Asia Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IShares Asia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.441.521.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.431.511.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.431.521.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.521.521.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as IShares Asia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against IShares Asia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, IShares Asia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in iShares Asia Trust.

IShares Asia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IShares Asia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IShares Asia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold iShares Asia Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IShares Asia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

IShares Asia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IShares Asia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for iShares Asia Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
iShares Asia Trust may become a speculative penny stock

IShares Asia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IShares Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IShares Asia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IShares Asia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume In Three Month8

IShares Asia Technical Analysis

IShares Asia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IShares Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of iShares Asia Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing IShares Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IShares Asia Predictive Forecast Models

IShares Asia's time-series forecasting models is one of many IShares Asia's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IShares Asia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about iShares Asia Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about IShares Asia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for iShares Asia Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
iShares Asia Trust may become a speculative penny stock

Other Information on Investing in IShares Pink Sheet

IShares Asia financial ratios help investors to determine whether IShares Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IShares with respect to the benefits of owning IShares Asia security.