Innsuites Hospitality Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.3
| IHT Stock | USD 1.54 0.06 4.05% |
InnSuites |
InnSuites Hospitality Target Price Odds to finish over 1.3
The tendency of InnSuites Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 1.30 in 90 days |
| 1.54 | 90 days | 1.30 | about 86.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of InnSuites Hospitality to stay above $ 1.30 in 90 days from now is about 86.82 (This InnSuites Hospitality Trust probability density function shows the probability of InnSuites Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of InnSuites Hospitality price to stay between $ 1.30 and its current price of $1.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.49 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon InnSuites Hospitality Trust has a beta of -0.48. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding InnSuites Hospitality are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, InnSuites Hospitality Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally InnSuites Hospitality Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. InnSuites Hospitality Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for InnSuites Hospitality
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as InnSuites Hospitality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of InnSuites Hospitality's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
InnSuites Hospitality Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. InnSuites Hospitality is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the InnSuites Hospitality's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold InnSuites Hospitality Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of InnSuites Hospitality within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
InnSuites Hospitality Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of InnSuites Hospitality for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for InnSuites Hospitality can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| InnSuites Hospitality generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| InnSuites Hospitality may become a speculative penny stock | |
| InnSuites Hospitality has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| InnSuites Hospitality has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by James Wirth of 1323 shares of InnSuites Hospitality at 1675.95 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
InnSuites Hospitality Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of InnSuites Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential InnSuites Hospitality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. InnSuites Hospitality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 M |
InnSuites Hospitality Technical Analysis
InnSuites Hospitality's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. InnSuites Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of InnSuites Hospitality Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing InnSuites Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
InnSuites Hospitality Predictive Forecast Models
InnSuites Hospitality's time-series forecasting models is one of many InnSuites Hospitality's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary InnSuites Hospitality's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about InnSuites Hospitality
Checking the ongoing alerts about InnSuites Hospitality for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for InnSuites Hospitality help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| InnSuites Hospitality generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| InnSuites Hospitality may become a speculative penny stock | |
| InnSuites Hospitality has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| InnSuites Hospitality has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by James Wirth of 1323 shares of InnSuites Hospitality at 1675.95 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for InnSuites Stock Analysis
When running InnSuites Hospitality's price analysis, check to measure InnSuites Hospitality's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy InnSuites Hospitality is operating at the current time. Most of InnSuites Hospitality's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of InnSuites Hospitality's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move InnSuites Hospitality's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of InnSuites Hospitality to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.