Industrial Logistics Properties Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.35
| ILPT Stock | USD 3.77 0.14 3.58% |
Industrial |
Industrial Logistics Target Price Odds to finish below 0.35
The tendency of Industrial Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.35 or more in 90 days |
| 3.77 | 90 days | 0.35 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Industrial Logistics to drop to $ 0.35 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Industrial Logistics Properties probability density function shows the probability of Industrial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Industrial Logistics price to stay between $ 0.35 and its current price of $3.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.71 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Industrial Logistics Properties has a beta of -0.53. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Industrial Logistics are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Industrial Logistics Properties is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Industrial Logistics Properties has an alpha of 0.0422, implying that it can generate a 0.0422 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Industrial Logistics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Industrial Logistics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Industrial Logistics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Industrial Logistics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Industrial Logistics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Industrial Logistics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Industrial Logistics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Industrial Logistics Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Industrial Logistics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0008 |
Industrial Logistics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Industrial Logistics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Industrial Logistics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Industrial Logistics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Industrial Logistics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 437.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (149.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 336.94 M. | |
| On 16th of May 2024 Industrial Logistics paid $ 0.01 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Industrial Logistics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Industrial Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Industrial Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Industrial Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 112.3 M |
Industrial Logistics Technical Analysis
Industrial Logistics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Industrial Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Industrial Logistics Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Industrial Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Industrial Logistics Predictive Forecast Models
Industrial Logistics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Industrial Logistics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Industrial Logistics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Industrial Logistics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Industrial Logistics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Industrial Logistics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Industrial Logistics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Industrial Logistics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 437.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (149.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 336.94 M. | |
| On 16th of May 2024 Industrial Logistics paid $ 0.01 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Additional Tools for Industrial Stock Analysis
When running Industrial Logistics' price analysis, check to measure Industrial Logistics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Industrial Logistics is operating at the current time. Most of Industrial Logistics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Industrial Logistics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Industrial Logistics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Industrial Logistics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.