IMARA Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.88

IMRA -  USA Stock  

USD 2.88  0.05  1.71%

IMARA's future price is the expected price of IMARA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of IMARA Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of December 6, 2021, Price to Book Value is expected to decline to 4.07. In addition to that, Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to decline to -6.06.

IMARA Price Probability 

 
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IMARA's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on IMARA Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of IMARA based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in IMARA Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2021-12-17 CALL at $2.5 is a CALL option contract on IMARA's common stock with a strick price of 2.5 expiring on 2021-12-17. The contract was last traded on 2021-11-29 at 12:36:28 for $0.65 and, as of today, has 11 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.15, and an ask price of $0.75. The implied volatility as of the 6th of December is 98.6753. View All IMARA options

Closest to current price IMARA long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please see IMARA Backtesting, IMARA Valuation, IMARA Correlation, IMARA Hype Analysis, IMARA Volatility, IMARA History as well as IMARA Performance. Please specify IMARA time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like IMARA odds to be computed.
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IMARA Target Price Odds to finish over 2.88

The tendency of IMARA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.88 90 days 2.88  about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IMARA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This IMARA Inc probability density function shows the probability of IMARA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days IMARA Inc has a beta of -0.0053. This usually indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding IMARA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, IMARA Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. IMARA Inc is significantly underperforming DOW.
 IMARA Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for IMARA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IMARA Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of IMARA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of IMARA in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.142.856.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
2.598.8412.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.062.946.50
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
12.0026.3337.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as IMARA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against IMARA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, IMARA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in IMARA Inc.

IMARA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IMARA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IMARA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IMARA Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IMARA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.7
β
Beta against DOW-0.0053
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

IMARA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IMARA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IMARA Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IMARA Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
IMARA Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (44.4 M).
IMARA Inc currently holds about 75.59 M in cash with (40.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.28, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
IMARA Inc has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Do Options Traders Know Something About DuPont Stock We Dont - Nasdaq

IMARA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IMARA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IMARA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IMARA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out4.57%
Short Percent Of Float17.52%
Float Shares6.24M
Shares Short Prior Month785.24k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day273.45k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month123.72k
Date Short Interest28th of May 2021

IMARA Technical Analysis

IMARA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IMARA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IMARA Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing IMARA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IMARA Predictive Forecast Models

IMARA time-series forecasting models is one of many IMARA's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary IMARA's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about IMARA Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about IMARA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IMARA Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

IMARA Alerts

IMARA Alerts and Suggestions

IMARA Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
IMARA Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (44.4 M).
IMARA Inc currently holds about 75.59 M in cash with (40.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.28, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
IMARA Inc has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Do Options Traders Know Something About DuPont Stock We Dont - Nasdaq
Please see IMARA Backtesting, IMARA Valuation, IMARA Correlation, IMARA Hype Analysis, IMARA Volatility, IMARA History as well as IMARA Performance. Note that the IMARA Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other IMARA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try ETF Directory module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

Complementary Tools for IMARA Stock analysis

When running IMARA Inc price analysis, check to measure IMARA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IMARA is operating at the current time. Most of IMARA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IMARA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IMARA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IMARA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is IMARA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of IMARA. If investors know IMARA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about IMARA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of IMARA Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IMARA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IMARA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IMARA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IMARA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IMARA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IMARA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine IMARA value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IMARA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.