Immatics Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.61

IMTX
 Stock
  

USD 11.36  0.29  2.62%   

Immatics' future price is the expected price of Immatics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Immatics NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Immatics' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Immatics NV. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Immatics based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Immatics NV over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $10.0 is a CALL option contract on Immatics' common stock with a strick price of 10.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-07 at 09:30:38 for $1.0 and, as of today, has 7 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.0, and an ask price of $2.45. The implied volatility as of the 9th of December is 149.1429. View All Immatics options

Closest to current price Immatics long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please see Immatics Backtesting, Immatics Valuation, Immatics Correlation, Immatics Hype Analysis, Immatics Volatility, Immatics History as well as Immatics Performance. Please specify Immatics time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Immatics odds to be computed.

Immatics Target Price Odds to finish below 9.61

The tendency of Immatics Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.61  or more in 90 days
 11.36 90 days 9.61 
about 10.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Immatics to drop to $ 9.61  or more in 90 days from now is about 10.6 (This Immatics NV probability density function shows the probability of Immatics Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Immatics NV price to stay between $ 9.61  and its current price of $11.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.65 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Immatics has a beta of 0.37. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Immatics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Immatics NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Immatics NV is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Immatics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Immatics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Immatics NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Immatics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Immatics in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
8.2111.3314.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.1414.2617.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.4111.5414.66
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
19.0025.2532.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Immatics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Immatics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Immatics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Immatics NV.

Immatics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Immatics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Immatics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Immatics NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Immatics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.17
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.82
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Immatics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Immatics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Immatics NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Immatics NV has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 34.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (93.33 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (52.81 M).
Immatics NV currently holds about 324.38 M in cash with (81.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.0.
Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Individual investors are Immatics N.V.s biggest owners and were hit after market cap dropped US65m - Simply Wall St

Immatics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Immatics Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Immatics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Immatics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding62909231.00

Immatics Technical Analysis

Immatics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Immatics Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Immatics NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Immatics Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Immatics Predictive Forecast Models

Immatics time-series forecasting models is one of many Immatics' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Immatics' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Immatics NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Immatics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Immatics NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Immatics NV has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 34.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (93.33 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (52.81 M).
Immatics NV currently holds about 324.38 M in cash with (81.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.0.
Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Individual investors are Immatics N.V.s biggest owners and were hit after market cap dropped US65m - Simply Wall St
Please see Immatics Backtesting, Immatics Valuation, Immatics Correlation, Immatics Hype Analysis, Immatics Volatility, Immatics History as well as Immatics Performance. You can also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Immatics NV price analysis, check to measure Immatics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Immatics is operating at the current time. Most of Immatics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Immatics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Immatics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Immatics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Immatics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Immatics. If investors know Immatics will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Immatics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
843.8 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
1.337
Return On Assets
0.0313
Return On Equity
0.4583
The market value of Immatics NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Immatics that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Immatics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Immatics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Immatics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Immatics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Immatics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Immatics value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Immatics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.