Incapta OTC Stock Odds of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 20.77

INCT -  USA Stock  

USD 0.0002  0.0001  33.33%

Incapta's future price is the expected price of Incapta instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Incapta performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Incapta Price Probability 

 
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Please see Incapta Backtesting, Incapta Valuation, Incapta Correlation, Incapta Hype Analysis, Incapta Volatility, Incapta History as well as Incapta Performance. Please specify Incapta time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Incapta odds to be computed.
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Incapta Target Price Odds to finish over 20.77

The tendency of Incapta OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 20.77  or more in 90 days
 0.0002 90 days 20.77  close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Incapta to move over $ 20.77  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Incapta probability density function shows the probability of Incapta OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Incapta price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0002  and $ 20.77  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Incapta has a beta of -0.21. This usually indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Incapta are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Incapta is likely to outperform the market. Moreover The company has an alpha of 1.7242, implying that it can generate a 1.72 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Incapta Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Incapta

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Incapta. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Incapta's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Incapta in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.0002121.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.00019221.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0000050.00022821.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.000254170.000254170.00025417
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Incapta. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Incapta's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Incapta's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Incapta.

Incapta Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Incapta is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Incapta's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Incapta, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Incapta within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
1.72
β
Beta against DOW-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.000086
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Incapta Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Incapta for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Incapta can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Incapta is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Incapta has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Incapta appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company currently holds 286.77 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.05, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Incapta has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 3.35 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.35 K.
Incapta currently holds about 721 in cash with (350.28 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 20.0% of Incapta shares are held by company insiders
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Incapta Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Incapta OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Incapta's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Incapta's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares3.32B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day281.28M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month250.37M

Incapta Technical Analysis

Incapta's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Incapta OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Incapta. In general, you should focus on analyzing Incapta OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Incapta Predictive Forecast Models

Incapta time-series forecasting models is one of many Incapta's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Incapta's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Incapta

Checking the ongoing alerts about Incapta for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Incapta help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Incapta Alerts

Incapta Alerts and Suggestions

Incapta is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Incapta has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Incapta appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company currently holds 286.77 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.05, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Incapta has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 3.35 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.35 K.
Incapta currently holds about 721 in cash with (350.28 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 20.0% of Incapta shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from energysiren.co.ke: Nalbuphine HCL Market 2021 Analysis by Size, Share, Growth, Trends up to 2027 Acme, Manusaktteva, Global Pharmaceuticals, Dr Reddys, Incepta Pharmaceuticals, Glenmark, Sami, Humanwell, HOSPIRA, . Energy Siren - Energy Siren
Please see Incapta Backtesting, Incapta Valuation, Incapta Correlation, Incapta Hype Analysis, Incapta Volatility, Incapta History as well as Incapta Performance. Note that the Incapta information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Incapta's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

Complementary Tools for Incapta OTC Stock analysis

When running Incapta price analysis, check to measure Incapta's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Incapta is operating at the current time. Most of Incapta's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Incapta's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Incapta's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Incapta to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Incapta's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Incapta. If investors know Incapta will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Incapta listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Incapta is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Incapta that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Incapta's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Incapta's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Incapta's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Incapta's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Incapta's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Incapta value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Incapta's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.