Indonesia Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.8

INDO Stock  USD 2.13  0.01  0.47%   
Indonesia Energy's future price is the expected price of Indonesia Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Indonesia Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Indonesia Energy Backtesting, Indonesia Energy Valuation, Indonesia Energy Correlation, Indonesia Energy Hype Analysis, Indonesia Energy Volatility, Indonesia Energy History as well as Indonesia Energy Performance.
To learn how to invest in Indonesia Stock, please use our How to Invest in Indonesia Energy guide.
  
At this time, Indonesia Energy's Price Earnings Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of March 2024, Price To Sales Ratio is likely to grow to 16.84, while Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to drop (0.36). Please specify Indonesia Energy's target price for which you would like Indonesia Energy odds to be computed.

Indonesia Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 2.8

The tendency of Indonesia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 2.80  or more in 90 days
 2.13 90 days 2.80 
about 13.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Indonesia Energy to move over $ 2.80  or more in 90 days from now is about 13.14 (This Indonesia Energy probability density function shows the probability of Indonesia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Indonesia Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 2.13  and $ 2.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.92 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Indonesia Energy has a beta of 0.91. This usually indicates Indonesia Energy market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Indonesia Energy is expected to follow. Additionally Indonesia Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Indonesia Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Indonesia Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indonesia Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Indonesia Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.114.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.454.156.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.254.96
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.1010.0011.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Indonesia Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Indonesia Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Indonesia Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Indonesia Energy.

Indonesia Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Indonesia Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Indonesia Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Indonesia Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Indonesia Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.47
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.91
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Indonesia Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Indonesia Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Indonesia Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Indonesia Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.12 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (37.08 K).
Indonesia Energy currently holds about 4.89 M in cash with (3.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.52.
Roughly 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Indonesia Energy files for 50M mixed securities shelf

Indonesia Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Indonesia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Indonesia Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indonesia Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.9 M

Indonesia Energy Technical Analysis

Indonesia Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Indonesia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Indonesia Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Indonesia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Indonesia Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Indonesia Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Indonesia Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Indonesia Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Indonesia Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Indonesia Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Indonesia Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Indonesia Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.12 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (37.08 K).
Indonesia Energy currently holds about 4.89 M in cash with (3.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.52.
Roughly 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Indonesia Energy files for 50M mixed securities shelf
When determining whether Indonesia Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Indonesia Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Indonesia Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Indonesia Energy Stock:
Check out Indonesia Energy Backtesting, Indonesia Energy Valuation, Indonesia Energy Correlation, Indonesia Energy Hype Analysis, Indonesia Energy Volatility, Indonesia Energy History as well as Indonesia Energy Performance.
To learn how to invest in Indonesia Stock, please use our How to Invest in Indonesia Energy guide.
Note that the Indonesia Energy information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Indonesia Energy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.

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When running Indonesia Energy's price analysis, check to measure Indonesia Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Indonesia Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Indonesia Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Indonesia Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Indonesia Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Indonesia Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Indonesia Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Indonesia Energy. If investors know Indonesia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Indonesia Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.38)
Revenue Per Share
0.359
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.21)
Return On Assets
(0.15)
Return On Equity
(0.27)
The market value of Indonesia Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Indonesia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Indonesia Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Indonesia Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Indonesia Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Indonesia Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Indonesia Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Indonesia Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Indonesia Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.