Infinity Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.64

INFI -  USA Stock  

USD 2.64  0.05  1.86%

Infinity Pharmaceuti's future price is the expected price of Infinity Pharmaceuti instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Infinity Pharmaceuti performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current Price to Sales Ratio is estimated to increase to 79.65, while Price to Book Value is projected to decrease to (6.07) .

Infinity Price Probability 

 
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Infinity Pharmaceuti's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Infinity Pharmaceuti. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Infinity Pharmaceuti based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Infinity Pharmaceuti over a specific time period. For example, 2021-11-19 CALL at $3.0 is a CALL option contract on Infinity Pharmaceuti's common stock with a strick price of 3.0 expiring on 2021-11-19. The contract was last traded on 2021-10-14 at 14:15:35 for $0.25 and, as of today, has 32 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.15, and an ask price of $0.25. The implied volatility as of the 18th of October 2021 is 101.3021. View All Infinity options

Closest to current price Infinity long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please see Infinity Pharmaceuti Backtesting, Infinity Pharmaceuti Valuation, Infinity Pharmaceuti Correlation, Infinity Pharmaceuti Hype Analysis, Infinity Pharmaceuti Volatility, Infinity Pharmaceuti History as well as Infinity Pharmaceuti Performance. Please specify Infinity Pharmaceuti time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Infinity Pharmaceuti odds to be computed.
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Infinity Pharmaceuti Target Price Odds to finish over 2.64

The tendency of Infinity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.64 90 days 2.64  about 82.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Infinity Pharmaceuti to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 82.54 (This Infinity Pharmaceuti probability density function shows the probability of Infinity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Infinity Pharmaceuti has a beta of 0.0753. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Infinity Pharmaceuti average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Infinity Pharmaceuti will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.5014, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Infinity Pharmaceuti Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Infinity Pharmaceuti

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Infinity Pharmaceuti. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Infinity Pharmaceuti's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Infinity Pharmaceuti in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.132.5813.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.204.0814.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.052.6613.43
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
4.008.8314.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Infinity Pharmaceuti. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Infinity Pharmaceuti's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Infinity Pharmaceuti's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Infinity Pharmaceuti.

Infinity Pharmaceuti Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Infinity Pharmaceuti is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Infinity Pharmaceuti's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Infinity Pharmaceuti, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Infinity Pharmaceuti within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.50
β
Beta against DOW0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.045914

Infinity Pharmaceuti Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Infinity Pharmaceuti for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Infinity Pharmaceuti can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Infinity Pharmaceuti is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Infinity Pharmaceuti appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Infinity Pharmaceuti was previously known as Infinity Pharmaceuticals and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol DPII.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.03 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (26.08 M).
Infinity Pharmaceuti currently holds about 97.26 M in cash with (39.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.1.
Infinity Pharmaceuti has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Infinity Pharmaceuti Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Infinity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Infinity Pharmaceuti's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Infinity Pharmaceuti's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out5.74%
Short Percent Of Float5.87%
Float Shares78.41M
Shares Short Prior Month5.45M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.62M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month7.22M
Date Short Interest15th of September 2021

Infinity Pharmaceuti Technical Analysis

Infinity Pharmaceuti's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Infinity Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Infinity Pharmaceuti. In general, you should focus on analyzing Infinity Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Infinity Pharmaceuti Predictive Forecast Models

Infinity Pharmaceuti time-series forecasting models is one of many Infinity Pharmaceuti's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Infinity Pharmaceuti's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Infinity Pharmaceuti

Checking the ongoing alerts about Infinity Pharmaceuti for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Infinity Pharmaceuti help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Infinity Pharmaceuti Alerts

Infinity Pharmaceuti Alerts and Suggestions

Infinity Pharmaceuti is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Infinity Pharmaceuti appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Infinity Pharmaceuti was previously known as Infinity Pharmaceuticals and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol DPII.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.03 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (26.08 M).
Infinity Pharmaceuti currently holds about 97.26 M in cash with (39.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.1.
Infinity Pharmaceuti has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Please see Infinity Pharmaceuti Backtesting, Infinity Pharmaceuti Valuation, Infinity Pharmaceuti Correlation, Infinity Pharmaceuti Hype Analysis, Infinity Pharmaceuti Volatility, Infinity Pharmaceuti History as well as Infinity Pharmaceuti Performance. Note that the Infinity Pharmaceuti information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Infinity Pharmaceuti's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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When running Infinity Pharmaceuti price analysis, check to measure Infinity Pharmaceuti's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Infinity Pharmaceuti is operating at the current time. Most of Infinity Pharmaceuti's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Infinity Pharmaceuti's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Infinity Pharmaceuti's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Infinity Pharmaceuti to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Infinity Pharmaceuti is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Infinity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Infinity Pharmaceuti's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Infinity Pharmaceuti's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Infinity Pharmaceuti's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Infinity Pharmaceuti underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Infinity Pharmaceuti's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Infinity Pharmaceuti value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Infinity Pharmaceuti's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.