Horizon Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 31.62

INFL -  USA Etf  

USD 31.62  0.20  0.64%

Horizon Kinetics' future price is the expected price of Horizon Kinetics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Horizon Kinetics Inflation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Horizon Price Probability 

 
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Horizon Kinetics' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Horizon Kinetics Inflation. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Horizon Kinetics based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Horizon Kinetics Inflation over a specific time period. For example, 2021-11-19 CALL at $32.0 is a CALL option contract on Horizon Kinetics' common stock with a strick price of 32.0 expiring on 2021-11-19. The contract was last traded on 2021-10-22 at 15:41:51 for $0.19 and, as of today, has 27 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.15, and an ask price of $0.3. The implied volatility as of the 24th of October is 9.9823. View All Horizon options

Closest to current price Horizon long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please see Horizon Kinetics Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Horizon Kinetics Correlation, Horizon Kinetics Hype Analysis, Horizon Kinetics Volatility, Horizon Kinetics History as well as Horizon Kinetics Performance. Please specify Horizon Kinetics time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Horizon Kinetics odds to be computed.
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Horizon Kinetics Target Price Odds to finish over 31.62

The tendency of Horizon Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 31.62 90 days 31.62  near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Horizon Kinetics to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Horizon Kinetics Inflation probability density function shows the probability of Horizon Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Horizon Kinetics has a beta of 0.85. This usually indicates Horizon Kinetics Inflation market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Horizon Kinetics is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0627, implying that it can generate a 0.0627 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Horizon Kinetics Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Horizon Kinetics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Horizon Kinetics Inf. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Horizon Kinetics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Horizon Kinetics in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
30.6431.4232.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
31.1431.9232.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
31.2832.0632.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.4231.2131.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Horizon Kinetics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Horizon Kinetics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Horizon Kinetics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Horizon Kinetics Inf.

Horizon Kinetics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Horizon Kinetics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Horizon Kinetics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Horizon Kinetics Inflation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Horizon Kinetics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.06
β
Beta against DOW0.85
σ
Overall volatility
0.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Horizon Kinetics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Horizon Kinetics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Horizon Kinetics Inf can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 98.42% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Horizon Kinetics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Horizon Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Horizon Kinetics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Horizon Kinetics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day524.99k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month263.11k

Horizon Kinetics Technical Analysis

Horizon Kinetics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Horizon Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Horizon Kinetics Inflation. In general, you should focus on analyzing Horizon Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Horizon Kinetics Predictive Forecast Models

Horizon Kinetics time-series forecasting models is one of many Horizon Kinetics' etf analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Horizon Kinetics' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Horizon Kinetics Inf

Checking the ongoing alerts about Horizon Kinetics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Horizon Kinetics Inf help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Horizon Kinetics Alerts

Horizon Kinetics Alerts and Suggestions

The fund retains 98.42% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Please see Horizon Kinetics Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Horizon Kinetics Correlation, Horizon Kinetics Hype Analysis, Horizon Kinetics Volatility, Horizon Kinetics History as well as Horizon Kinetics Performance. Note that the Horizon Kinetics Inf information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Horizon Kinetics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Horizon Etf analysis

When running Horizon Kinetics Inf price analysis, check to measure Horizon Kinetics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Horizon Kinetics is operating at the current time. Most of Horizon Kinetics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Horizon Kinetics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Horizon Kinetics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Horizon Kinetics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Horizon Kinetics Inf is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Horizon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Horizon Kinetics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Horizon Kinetics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Horizon Kinetics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Horizon Kinetics Inf underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Horizon Kinetics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Horizon Kinetics value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Horizon Kinetics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.