Inovio Pharmaceuticals Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.16
| INO Stock | USD 10.16 0.21 2.03% |
Closest to current price Inovio long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Inovio |
Inovio Pharmaceuticals Target Price Odds to finish over 10.16
The tendency of Inovio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 10.16 | 90 days | 10.16 | about 35.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inovio Pharmaceuticals to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 35.79 (This Inovio Pharmaceuticals probability density function shows the probability of Inovio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.53 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Inovio Pharmaceuticals will likely underperform. Additionally Inovio Pharmaceuticals has an alpha of 0.3669, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Inovio Pharmaceuticals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Inovio Pharmaceuticals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inovio Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inovio Pharmaceuticals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Inovio Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inovio Pharmaceuticals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inovio Pharmaceuticals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inovio Pharmaceuticals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inovio Pharmaceuticals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Inovio Pharmaceuticals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inovio Pharmaceuticals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inovio Pharmaceuticals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Inovio Pharmaceuticals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Inovio Pharmaceuticals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Inovio Pharmaceuticals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 832.01 K. Reported Net Loss for the year was (135.12 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (177.39 M). | |
| Inovio Pharmaceuticals has about 348.13 M in cash with (124.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.4. | |
| Inovio Pharmaceuticals has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Global COVID-19 Vaccines Research Report 2023-2025 - Licensing and Partnership Deals Worldwide Propel Vaccine Production |
Inovio Pharmaceuticals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inovio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inovio Pharmaceuticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inovio Pharmaceuticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 145.3 M |
Inovio Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis
Inovio Pharmaceuticals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inovio Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inovio Pharmaceuticals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inovio Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Inovio Pharmaceuticals Predictive Forecast Models
Inovio Pharmaceuticals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Inovio Pharmaceuticals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inovio Pharmaceuticals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Inovio Pharmaceuticals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Inovio Pharmaceuticals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inovio Pharmaceuticals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Inovio Pharmaceuticals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Inovio Pharmaceuticals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Inovio Pharmaceuticals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 832.01 K. Reported Net Loss for the year was (135.12 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (177.39 M). | |
| Inovio Pharmaceuticals has about 348.13 M in cash with (124.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.4. | |
| Inovio Pharmaceuticals has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Global COVID-19 Vaccines Research Report 2023-2025 - Licensing and Partnership Deals Worldwide Propel Vaccine Production |
Check out Inovio Pharmaceuticals Backtesting, Inovio Pharmaceuticals Valuation, Inovio Pharmaceuticals Correlation, Inovio Pharmaceuticals Hype Analysis, Inovio Pharmaceuticals Volatility, Inovio Pharmaceuticals History as well as Inovio Pharmaceuticals Performance. To learn how to invest in Inovio Stock, please use our How to Invest in Inovio Pharmaceuticals guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Complementary Tools for Inovio Stock analysis
When running Inovio Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure Inovio Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inovio Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of Inovio Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inovio Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inovio Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inovio Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Inovio Pharmaceuticals' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Inovio Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Inovio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Inovio Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (6.09) | Revenue Per Share 0.038 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.18) | Return On Assets (0.32) | Return On Equity (0.80) |
The market value of Inovio Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Inovio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Inovio Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Inovio Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Inovio Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Inovio Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Inovio Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Inovio Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inovio Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.