Intel Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 28.60

INTC
 Stock
  

USD 28.60  0.57  1.95%   

Intel's future price is the expected price of Intel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Intel performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Intel Price to Book Value is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Price to Book Value was at 2.60. The current year Price to Sales Ratio is expected to grow to 3.16, whereas Price to Earnings Ratio are forecasted to decline to 14.29.
  
Intel's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Intel. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Intel based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Intel over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-09 CALL at $28.5 is a CALL option contract on Intel's common stock with a strick price of 28.5 expiring on 2022-12-09. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-06 at 15:59:30 for $0.46 and, as of today, has 2 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.45, and an ask price of $0.47. The implied volatility as of the 7th of December is 48.508. View All Intel options

Closest to current price Intel long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please see Intel Backtesting, Intel Valuation, Intel Correlation, Intel Hype Analysis, Intel Volatility, Intel History as well as Intel Performance. Please specify Intel time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Intel odds to be computed.

Intel Target Price Odds to finish over 28.60

The tendency of Intel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 28.60 90 days 28.60 
about 37.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intel to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 37.45 (This Intel probability density function shows the probability of Intel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.48 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Intel will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Intel is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Intel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Intel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Intel in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
25.8328.6731.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
25.7435.9438.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
25.6628.5031.34
Details
27 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
45.0058.2985.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Intel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Intel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Intel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Intel.

Intel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.18
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.48
σ
Overall volatility
1.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Intel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of December 2022 Intel paid $ 0.365 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Intel Corporation Stocks Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future - Simply Wall St

Intel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4090000000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments28413000000.00

Intel Technical Analysis

Intel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Intel Predictive Forecast Models

Intel time-series forecasting models is one of many Intel's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Intel's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Intel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Intel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of December 2022 Intel paid $ 0.365 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Intel Corporation Stocks Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future - Simply Wall St
Please see Intel Backtesting, Intel Valuation, Intel Correlation, Intel Hype Analysis, Intel Volatility, Intel History as well as Intel Performance. You can also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Intel price analysis, check to measure Intel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intel is operating at the current time. Most of Intel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Intel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intel. If investors know Intel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.85) 
Market Capitalization
118 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.20) 
Return On Assets
0.0293
Return On Equity
0.14
The market value of Intel is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Intel value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.