Invesco Comstock Select Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 35.9
| IOVVX Fund | USD 34.49 0.02 0.06% |
Invesco |
Invesco Comstock Target Price Odds to finish over 35.9
The tendency of Invesco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 35.90 or more in 90 days |
| 34.49 | 90 days | 35.90 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Comstock to move over $ 35.90 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Invesco Comstock Select probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Comstock Select price to stay between its current price of $ 34.49 and $ 35.90 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.3 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco Comstock has a beta of 0.87. This usually indicates Invesco Comstock Select market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Invesco Comstock is expected to follow. Additionally Invesco Comstock Select has an alpha of 0.0325, implying that it can generate a 0.0325 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Invesco Comstock Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Invesco Comstock
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Comstock Select. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Comstock's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Invesco Comstock Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Comstock is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Comstock's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Comstock Select, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Comstock within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Invesco Comstock Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Comstock for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Comstock Select can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains about 5.54% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Invesco Comstock Technical Analysis
Invesco Comstock's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Comstock Select. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Invesco Comstock Predictive Forecast Models
Invesco Comstock's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Comstock's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Comstock's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Invesco Comstock Select
Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Comstock for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Comstock Select help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains about 5.54% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Check out Invesco Comstock Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Comstock Correlation, Invesco Comstock Hype Analysis, Invesco Comstock Volatility, Invesco Comstock History as well as Invesco Comstock Performance. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.